Posted on 10/30/2018 7:18:28 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
“I will never understand the mindset of these idiots from the northeast who move south to get away from high tax Democrat s**tholes only to f**k their new states over by voting for the same liberal policies that wrecked the states they left. It’s just plain stupid! These people are mentally deranged!”
Unfortunately, the change of location doesn’t cure mental illness.
Go back and look at 2014 when the GOP swept, all of the polls had everything very tight, and they turned out to be blowouts. The only tight races were the ones in which the Democrat won, like in Vir.
They haven’t, they begin their EV this week, I believe.
Why would Independents break toward Gillum when the economy is doing well? Gillum is a left-wing ideologue.
Trump is going back to Fl. this week, hopefully Desantis will be there with him
Who cares as long as he wins.
DeSantis is not losing Independents, and they are not going to vote to have their taxes raised!
I saw the head of the GOP Party interviewed and he said he saw a Red wave in Fl.
Early voting purely puts the GOP up based on history... However, it is also important that, like it or not, you are dealing in FL and GA with a different dynamic that could upend historical norms.
I fully expect the GOP to win FL Gov and Senate races.. HOWEVER, to just blindly not contemplate the idea that an AA candidate for Governor may indeed change the turnout model from significant norms is being a bit naive.
In a week we know one way or another.
Not me. No one outworks President Trump. But it is too bad that he has to waste his energy and political capital dragging feckless would be losers to victory. It will be nice if these guys remember who stuck their neck out for them after the election.
You expect the GOP to win both States and still elect hard Left candidates for Governor? Now who is being naïve?
Did you read what I have written?
I said I expect the GOP to win FL, both senate and governor races, based on early voting etc.
However, to naively believe that just because historical trends point to this, based on early voting histories... it is NAIVE to discount the possibility that because you do indeed have an AA running for Governor there that historical trends may not hold.
It is not beyond the realm of possibilities that historical election day trends, may not hold due to the fact that you have a AA running for governor. This could indeed increase significantly overall black turnout on election day, and that could affect the election result, causing it to fall outside of historic norms.
Blacks make up just over 16% of the FL population, FL typically has midterm turnout levels of around 50% of eligible voters. If AA voters in FL turn out at much higher than traditional turnout levels in a midterm on election day, that could indeed swing the vote to NOT follow historical norms.
I am not saying that WILL happen, but I am saying to flat out DISMISS that it could happen is naive.
Republicans are very motivated and Trump voters typically shun polls thus are undercounted......
If it is a University...YOU can rest assured it is Liberal...
Liberals are controlling higher education....at least right now...that can easily change....
We need to get out and VOTE IN NOV. 6TH JUST ONE WEEK AWAY...MAKE IT A RED WEEK...
I just voted in Hillsborough just outside of Tampa. It was really crowded and they said it has been that way since the start. It was probably more crowded than when I voted in the same location two years ago early. Voted DeSantis/Scott and had a good feeling about what I was seeing. Could be wrong and this is just my opinion, but felt like the majority of the room was likely DeSantis/Scott votes when I was there.
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