[Methos8]

So you think that the Rs who are coming out in larger numbers than when Trump won in 16 are coming out to vote for Gilliam? Does it make more sense to believe that or that the polling, which was flawed in 16 is still flawed?

Trust me, I have a pretty good handle on the R/D turnout. I have confidence DeSantis will get 90%+ of the vote from registered Republicans (and Gillum will likely as well). The poll is reasonably close enough to that, probably within the margin of error.

What concerns me is the result saying DeSantis is losing independents by 25%. That sample is less than 200 people and not consistent with other polls I have seen, but is still a bit concerning. I think he can still win if he keeps the gap to something around 55/45, but anything worse than that is going to make it really difficult even with a decent Republican turnout.

Wouldn't surprise me at all to see Scott win by 1-2% and DeSantis lose by about the same amount.

[ncalburt]

You believe a Local commuter college poll ?

I have talked to one Rep voting
Dem .
They are terrified of Gillum .
I mean scared .

[fortheDeclaration]

DeSantis is not losing Independents, and they are not going to vote to have their taxes raised!