Posted on 11/03/2018 8:09:05 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
So looks like 48,000 turned out in Clark Co yesterday. Dems added about 9k to their Clark firewall which is now 47,000. Looks like statewide lead is going to be around 23,000.
Not a total blowout by Dems, but Rosen is definitely in the drivers seat here. Heller will need a BIG Election Day turnout. And specifically he needs to carry his home County of Washoe. Dems currently lead there.
He’s getting hammered with lies.
Don’t see Heller winning. The health care thing is playing 24/7 on every outlet in Reno.
I know. We just spent a week up at Tahoe and the political ads are relentless right now. I can’t wait for Wednesday morning!
Nevada has become Cali east. Sad but true.
With its permanent level of Democrat vote fraud and mafia control, I think of it as New Jersey West. A statewide Republican candidate needs to lead by ~ 10% in the polls to have any chance of coming out on top on Election Day.
Heller isn’t up by 10% (or even 1%), so unfortunately it’s goodbye to him. The GOP seemed to have a shot at gaining 1 or 2 House seats in Nevada, but that’s probably a fantasy though the races at one time appeared to be close.
Heller won his race in 2012 even while Obama carried the state by 7pts.
I’m confused.....I thought the people fleeing Cali were conservatives?
Could we please stop with the doom and gloom? The Democrats ‘ lead in early voting is lower than 2016 when Trump narrowly lost the state. Heller is not Trump. He attracts more Is and Ds. Also, rural turnout is going to be through the roof. Heller by 3 points.
No, they are not, especially when they flee to Vegas from SoCal.
Some are, but most are just average everyday Democrat voting idiot Californians who can't afford their liberal paradise. They have turned AZ purple and CO more or less blue.
What do you think here?
The EV lead in NV in 2016 was 46K in favor of the Dems. So the lead has been cut in half with EV in 2018. So why is everyone panicking?
Because Jon Ralston says we should
Illinois is the same as Nevada with the “voted against healthcare” ads. I honestly think that will be as effective as Hillary’s TV ad blitz in 2016. You know the thing about TV now? No one watches it? If they do watch TV, they have DVRs and don’t watch the ads. The people who actually watch the ads are tuning them out. Television executives refuse to report it because those ads make their stations and cable operations run but it’s the truth. It certainly was for Trump. The traditional political ad is a form of advertising that has become self-parody beyond even the uselessness of television advertising as an effective form of communication. TV Executives and their allies in dead-tree journalism are doing everything they can to bury the story about the death of traditional advertising but Trump proved it was useless, wasteful spending in 2016 and I think we’ll see that again this cycle. When you have no credibility, people just don’t believe you and that goes for the TV stations and the national political party apparatuses that raise money just to spend it with media companies that they see as their real constituents.
I guess I would rather have Heller than a dem. Barely. Wish we could get a real conservative in that seat.
“Heller won his race in 2012 even while Obama carried the state by 7pts.”
But what has been the NV demographic shift? More illegal immigrants? More Californians fleeing CA only to get to NV and vote in the soul brothers of the officials who messed up CA to begin with ?
“Some are, but most are just average everyday Democrat voting idiot Californians who can’t afford their liberal paradise. They have turned AZ purple and CO more or less blue.”
The shrinkage of the California Republican Party from 39% of the voters in 1994 to 26% today and wins by the Dems in traditional GOP areas like San Diego and Orange County would indicate otherwise. Conservatives in these area are moving out of the area and being replaced by liberals. As an example, the people who bought my home in Irvine last year were liberal.
Well, last I checked Duncan Hunter was still winning in San Diego despite being indicted.
41.4 Dem to 37.9 Rep. 260K to 238K. Others make up 21% of the vote. We will see how Independents break and Rep turnout on election day. And how good is Heller's ground game. All is not lost. The Dem advantage in EV is half of what it was in 2016.
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