I cannot remember a single time where a D was flipped to R after additional vote counts- I’m talking 40 years of time
I can’t either, and that’s highly suspicious. There could be a legitimate reason why the vote count for absentee ballots tends to be higher for democrats than the count for the ballots cast on election day at the polls. More conservative retirees may be more likely to vote at the polls on election day than people working jobs, because the retirees have all day to go to the polls and they can go vote in the middle of the day when the lines are short at the polls. So the population of people voting on election day may be more conservative than the population using absentee ballots. I’m not an expert on elections, so I would need an expert to confirm if that theory is valid. But McSally is clearly getting a significantly lower percentage of the absentee ballots that were dropped off at the polls on election day and take a week to count. (That’s what they’re still counting now.)
McSally did win a very close election in the Tucson area the first time she was elected to the House, by a margin of 168 votes, if I recall correctly. I don’t remember if she was leading in the vote count the entire time, but all the reported vote counts were very close. So in AZ they don’t steal all the close elections from us. In this election, it looks like the Democrat turnout was very strong, a lot of independents voted for Sinema, and that overwhelmed the GOP advantage in voter registrations. It’s not completely over, but McSally is trailing badly now and I’d only give her a 2% chance of catching up and winning.