[grumpygresh]

The universal rule for socialists and various other despots is gun confiscation precedes Democide (death by government).

Red flag laws, gun registration/confiscation in blue states appears to be the most likely trigger. Yes, many leftists think they want a leftist totalitarian dictatorship. But, most of these leftists, that is the dumbed down base, are losers and cowards. They think the whole thing is a video game or some fulfillment of a socialist textbook utopia.

Sheriffs will be the key here. Then Governors because they control the national guard.

[Badboo]

There are actually three key players within each state that determines its place in a civil war. You mentioned the governor and the sheriffs. The other is the local commanders of any federal military and civilian defense facilities. The political views of these commanders, and their willingness to follow or disagree with national orders becomes a key ingredient of what can happen in those states that have significant federal facilities. Air and naval based facilities have an immediate reach far beyond the state they are located in

It is the fracture of the military which creates the real bloodbath and destruction.

[Travis McGee]

Democide: Socialism, Tyranny, Guns and Freedom
(Why the 2A is paramount)
5 minute video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6T9NvIJCFzQ