I wonder which is more important ideology or personality plus delivery during campaigning? Also the economic demographics, are indies well to do, poor, middle class, educated, married, etc etc. I sometimes think people take a middle ground approach to prevent having to explain their choices.
I think it depends on whose next. We probably will win in 2020 and lose in 2024. For some reason Americans like to go back and forth on parties. Only once in 40 years did one party get 3 terms and that was 1981-1992.