[Widget Jr]

Iran's economic and social and economic problems limit their ability to fight. The Iranian populace is not eager to die for a regime that can not irrigate crops or keep gas pumps running. Iran lacks refinery capability, so taking out a few refineries means the lights go out.

Trump lines up allies to isolate hostile nations. Iran's allies include Russia, who tend to get out of Dodge when the U.S. gets serious about blowing things up.

Every time someone predicts a short war, they are almost always wrong. I am not predicting a short war. Only that Iran has nearly insurmountable problems in fighting a long war.

[null and void]

Iran's economic and social and economic problems limit their ability to fight. The Iranian populace is not eager to die for a regime that can not irrigate crops or keep gas pumps running. Iran lacks refinery capability, so taking out a few refineries means the lights go out.

Trump lines up allies to isolate hostile nations. Iran's allies include Russia, who tend to get out of Dodge when the U.S. gets serious about blowing things up.

Every time someone predicts a short war, they are almost always wrong. I am not predicting a short war. Only that Iran has nearly insurmountable problems in fighting a long war.

Iran has every reason to not provoke a shootin' war at this point, and every reason to do all humanly possible to delay it until they have a credible nuclear threat.

Iran ain't the one that's behind this, people...

[gundog]

Iran ramped up refining capacity.