The chance of one small protein chain assembling by accident is around 10 to 164th power. To have a cell you needs many many proteins all at once in a combined area behind a cell wall. Good luck with that.
Not so much luck necessarily required.
Abiogenesis hypotheses do not require that a cell spring fully formed from some "primordial soup", thus needing the "chance" event of "10 to the 164th power."
What it does require is millions of small changes spread over billions of years.
None of those small changes needs to be improbable, indeed, given the right conditions, they should be inevitable.
Consider "Murphy's Law" in reverse -- "whatever can go wrong will go wrong" reversed to "whatever mutation can happen will happen".
The number of bacteria on Earth is estimated at 10 to the 30th power, multiplying thousands of times per year over billions of years creates almost unlimited opportunities for "mistakes", aka evolution.