Posted on 08/22/2019 4:46:21 AM PDT by Kaslin
What factors usually re-elect or throw out incumbent presidents?
The economy counts most.
Recessions, or at least chronic economic pessimism, sink incumbents. Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were tagged with sluggish growth, high unemployment and a sense of perceived stagnation -- and were easily defeated.
The 2008 financial crisis likely ended any chance for John McCain to continue eight years of Republican rule. Barack Obama campaigned on the message that incumbent George W. Bush was to blame for the meltdown and that McCain, his potential Republican successor, would be even worse.
A once-unpopular incumbent Ronald Reagan fought recession for three years. Yet he soared to a landslide victory in 1984 only after the gross domestic product suddenly took off at an annualized clip of over 7 percent prior to the election.
President Donald Trump's economy is still booming. But his opponents here and abroad are counting on a recession to derail him.
They hope that either the good times can't last forever or that Trump's trade war with China will scare investors and businesspeople into retrenchment. Or perhaps massive annual deficits and staggering debt will finally catch up to a financially reckless government.
China will do all it can to prompt a U.S. downturn before November 2020 in hopes that it can get a better deal from a new Democratic president.
Unpopular optional wars are just as lethal to incumbents. Vietnam ended any chance of Lyndon Johnson seeking re-election. Iraq sank the second term of George W. Bush and almost cost him his 2004 re-election bid. The Benghazi fiasco, the collapse of Iraq and the rise of ISIS during Obama's first term all made 2012 a far closer race than expected.
(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...
The fact that his opponents are hoping for a recession are admitting the economy is doing well.
“...But his opponents here and abroad are counting on a recession to derail him....”
Which is exactly why you hear the Democrat Talking Points of the last few days, handed out to their Mediots every morning, including the word “recession”.
“Trump is walking back fears of a recession.....”
“Trump downplaying fears of a recession....”
“Trump, downplaying any talk of recession...”
Blah blah blah... they say it enough so it gets ingrained in peoples’ heads, folks get scared and stop spending, and boom. Instant “recession”.
Recessions, or at least chronic economic pessimism, sink incumbents. Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were tagged with sluggish growth, high unemployment and a sense of perceived stagnation — and were easily defeated.
Hence why all the scum is talking non stop about how,what,where,when,why about the economy trying to drive it down.
Trump will prevail over this issue.
What sinks incumbent presidents in my view is a lack of integrity, not the economy. If the World economy tanks we need a President with Trumps business acumen to keep us in the best shape possible.
The complete lack of integrity by the MSM and the Democrats make them the worst possible choice if things go wrong.
If the Democrats actually selected a candidate whom the general American public felt was better than Trump at representing their values or growing the economy, or keeping us safe, or any number of policy issues it would be a swift and crushing defeat for the President.
The only candidate on the democrat side who is running on that type of platform is Bernie Sanders, and his position is that installing socialism is the better that we are all looking for. Everyone else is running on “Trump bad, everyone who supports him is also bad, I’m woke, the science is settled” and hoping for a fortuitous recession.
Only the Fed and millions of illegal voters and Google. However I don’t think that is going to work either. It is telling that the Kansas City fed Esther somebody is saying that their job is to focus on the real economy. So apparently President Trump does not understand the real economy ..unbelievable that a bunch of PhD morons know so little about economics.
Don’t forget that these deep state folks who can’t jobs dial back President Trump’s job growth by 501000 jobs created
Vote fraud. Thats it. It also happens to be an area that Trump has completey ignored.
Losing Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, and Arizona would definitely put a crimp in them.
COMPLETELY CORRECT. Trump has seen first-hand the near complete collapse of New York City in the 1970's and how bad Democratic policies of the New York City Council can ruin a city first-hand. (It was that very experience that gave him standing to criticize the literal poor state of many Democrat-controlled cities.) That's why if Trump gets a true Republican Congress in 2021, he will likely push for major income tax reform, something that will REALLY make the US economy take off.
The left is reaching for straws that aren’t there. They will try anything to see if it can stick.
Bloomberg hasn’t a prayer in terms of victory, but if he does indeed choose to run he could become the conduit by which literally billions of dollars from his own fortune are channeled into the race against Trump.
https://twitter.com/almostjingo/status/1164412563234283521
Don’t underestimate the ability of the Democrats to turn out huge throngs of voters next November with gibmedat proposals.
Student Loan Forgiveness is the one that scares me the most. That is literally the A#1 priority of every Millenial I speak with. They could induce swarms of their voters to get off the couch and go vote with a serious proposal. Gibmedats outnumber us to begin with, our hope lies in the fact that most are too lazy to actually get off the couch and go vote.
If the Dems are going to take away Medicare from those over 65, they vote en masse.
He can’t give an inch on guns and he better be extremely persuasive that his immigration promises will come to fruition after he is a re-elected. So it goes without saying if he capitulates in any way on guns or immigration then he could lose. I’ll add that it’s horrifying for our future that any of these democrat candidates would get a substantial amount of votes in the first place. I’m guessing that Trump knows that also and given how much he loves his country, family and grandkids will make sound decisions with the long term future in mind.
Or perhaps he’s just keeping his own counsel for now.
I fully expect DJT is taking a “don’t fire until you see the whites of their eyes” approach on several issues.
Timing is everything.
There is nothing that can sink his presidency in 2021 (unless Americans have gone completely Nutz:-)
Trump should talk now about how the leftist fascists are going to try to crash the economy BEFORE the election to derail the election. He should discuss how much these leftists hate the citizens of the country to the point that they are willing to harm them, their homes and jobs in order to win. He needs to do it now before they do take it down, to help prevent and to not have it look like an excuse.
He needs to get in front of that NOW.
Hell at least 2 leftist talking heads have already said that they are behind an economic crash to gain their power back.
Do not let that opportunity go to waste.
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