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To: NELSON111

Official Forecasts don’t belong in Tweets.


19 posted on 09/06/2019 11:38:58 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2
>>>Official Forecasts don’t belong in Tweets.

You don't get to decide that. And when you have an official forecast from a WFO putting out one thing that the public and EMOs are supposed to follow - yet officials are now saying something else - well - there is a conflict.

I worked that for 32 years - at the highest level (at NORTHCOM and for the NCA). I worked with the NHC and I worked with DHS to deconflict all the mess that comes when some official says one thing when the NHC is saying another.

IT'S A FREAKING NIGHTMARE. I worked Pam in 2004 - which was the exercise of the Cat 5 into NOLA where we drew up the battle plans that failed for Katrina. Then I watched Max Mayfield beg Nagin to evacuate. Then I watched miscommunication between agencies in that whole thing...and not just that incidence but through y entire career - between hurricanes and nukedet exercises.

We can't have people making mistakes or mishearing communications...at any level.

21 posted on 09/06/2019 11:49:02 PM PDT by NELSON111 (Congress: The Ralph Wolf and Sam Sheepdog show. Theater for sheep. My politics determines my "hero")
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To: Paladin2
And saying "Alabama will NOT be impacted by Dorian" is NOT an official forecast." It's no more of a forecast than a NON-meteorologist saying it will. The NWS FREQUENTLY tweets out weather warnings. It uses social media to warn - or advise. To say it shouldn't is just plain dumb. I would say an official shouldn't say anything on social media they aren't 100% SURE is the truth. And as I said in another post - it's really NOT his fault. He was briefed incorrectly. I spoke to my former commander today and he gave me the inside scoop on exactly what happened. It was a matter of a NON-weather guy looking at a chart and listening to a briefing and giving HIS boss a bad briefing.

And if I had a $ for every time THAT happened in my career I wouldn't need my pension! It happened all the time...and when the bosses got CNN/FOX and the weather channel - it got 10X worse because then EVERYONE thought they were an expert...and it fouled everything up all the time. I had "Trump" situations almost weekly with the 4 star or his cheif of staff.

22 posted on 09/06/2019 11:57:19 PM PDT by NELSON111 (Congress: The Ralph Wolf and Sam Sheepdog show. Theater for sheep. My politics determines my "hero")
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