Posted on 10/21/2019 11:08:16 AM PDT by janetjanet998
was watching PG&E news conference....they said they are trimming around power lines more then before....
before he said there were regulations that prevented them from trimming past a certain distance around the power lines...
are you kidding me?!?!?
What surprised me was that Limbaugh missed the massive (in total) subsidies that make going solar practical for individual homeowners -— and then they wonder why they are getting killed on taxes and a high cost of living.
TANSTAAFL, baby.
Fire Regime Condition Class.
L
THEREFORE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS VALID INITIALLY OVER THE NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN EAST BAY HILLS/SANTA CRUZ MTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY REALLY PLUMMETS DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY DESPITE SOME WEAKENING WINDS. GIVEN VERY LOW RH AND ANOTHER DAY OF HOT TEMPERATURES DECIDED TO KEEP THE WATCH THROUGH PEAKING HEATING ON THURSDAY. AFTER COORDINATING WITH NEIGHBORING FORECAST OFFICES WILL LET DAY SHIFT CONVERT THE WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING AFTER MORNING COORDINATION CALLS HAVE BEEN COMPLETED WITH FIRE AGENCIES AND FIRE PARTNERS. DO WANT TO EMPHASIZE THIS IS NOT AN EXTREME EVENT. IT IS FALL AND THE BAY AREA TYPICALLY SEES OFFSHORE FLOW EVENTS LIKE THIS.
NOW FOR ROUND TWO - AS MENTIONED ABOVE MODELS HAVE BEEN SUGGESTING ANOTHER AND POTENTIALLY STRONGER OFFSHORE FLOW EVENT OVER THE WEEKEND. PEAK FOR THE SECOND WOULD LIKELY BE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. IF THE FORECAST STAYS ON TRACK ADDITIONAL FIRE WATCHES/WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED. IT'S JUST ONE MODEL RUN, BUT IF THE 00Z GFS WOULD VERIFY THE SFO-WMC GRADIENT IS GREATER THAN 20 MB. NEEDLESS TO SAY STAY TUNED.
USA today
A new round of PG&E power outages could put 500,000 Californians in the dark for days
John Bacon, USA TODAY
RGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
913 AM PDT TUE OCT 22 2019
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES FOR
MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...
.A SANTA ANA WIND EVENT WILL LIKELY BRING WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
CONDITIONS TO MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES. THERE IS
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS, BUT PEAK
GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH IS THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME. MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY LOWER WELL BELOW 10 PERCENT, WITH MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 87 AND 97. A DECISION ON WHETHER OR NOT TO
CONVERT THIS WATCH INTO A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE MADE EITHER
San Fran
FIRE WEATHER...AS OF 12:45 PM PDT TUESDAY
ALL FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO RED FLAG WARNINGS. IN ADDITION THE
NORTH BAY COAST AND VALLEYS WERE ADDED TO THE WARNING AS WELL AS
THE EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS. TIMING IS TO FOR WARNINGS TO START
IN THE NORTH BAY FIRST, AROUND MIDDAY WEDS WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR THE
PEAK DAYTIME HEATING AS WELL AS THE SYNOPTIC TIMING OF THE WIND
EVENT. IN A SUBTLE BUT IMPORTANT BREAK FROM NORMAL THE WINDS DO
START TO ARRIVE BEFORE SUNSET AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE USUAL
NIGHTTIME INVERSIONS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW SOME OF THE WINDS TO BE
NOTICED BY WEDS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NORTH BAY HILLS
AS WELL AS DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS. THE STRONGEST OFFSHORE WINDS
THEN SWEEP OVER THE REST OF THE EAST BAY AND SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS
WEDS NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE EVENT LOOKS TO BE ON THE
MODERATE TO A LOW END “HIGH EVENT” IN TERMS OF INTENSITY. COOL
ADVECTION AND UPPER FORCING FOR DOWNWARD MOMENTUM LOOK MARGINAL
WITH THE BEST SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE SIERRA. HOWEVER
WINDS AT THE 925 MB (RIDGETOP) LEVEL LOOK STRONG AND WE WILL BE
GOING INTO THE EVENT AFTER SEVERAL HOT WEATHER DAYS WITH VERY LOW
HUMIDITY. IN FACT HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD SLOWLY DROP THROUGH THE
NIGHT WEDS INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. FUEL ANALYSIS SHOWS ALL
FUEL COMPONENTS: LIVE, DEAD, FINE, HEAVY, ETC READY FOR
CONSUMPTION. CLIMATOLOGY AND FIRE HISTORY INCLUDING THE OAKLAND
HILLS FIRE (OCT 19/20TH 1991) AS ALWAYS SEND AN IMPORTANT MESSAGE
WORTH STUDYING TO AVOID REPEAT PERFORMANCES.
RED FLAGS ARE UP THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
EASE BY THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER, HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN VERY LOW
RIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS. GIVEN
THE ONGOING IMPACTS SEEMS THE PRUDENT THING TO DO WILL BE TO LET
THE RED FLAG END BY THURSDAY AND THEN RIDE THROUGH THE LONG
DURATION LOW HUMIDITY TIME FRAME WHEN IGNITIONS WILL STILL BE
LIKELY BUT EASIER TO CATCH.
ALL EYES THEN TURN TOWARDS A POTENTIALLY STRONGER EVENT SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MODEL SPREADS AT 4-5 DAY WINDOW STILL LARGE
ENOUGH TO KEEP CONFIDENCE IN THE MODERATE CATEGORY. HOWEVER,
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR HIGH END WIND EVENT. PRESSURE GRADIENTS
LOOKS MUCH STRONGER WITH COLD ADVECTION AND UPPER SUPPORT
SUGGESTING MORE WIDESPREAD WIND POTENTIAL. CURRENT TIMING SUGGESTS
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WOULD BE COOLER
WITH HUMIDITY PERHAPS SLIGHTLY HIGHER BUT WINDS POTENTIALLY MUCH
STRONGER.
WE REALIZE THERE BECOMES PUBLIC AND FIRE MANAGER FATIGUE FACTOR
IN DEALING WITH MULTIPLE EVENTS AND DISCERNING THE DIFFERENT
INTENSITY LEVELS. DURING THE FALL OF 2017 WE HAD 2-3 MODERATE
INTENSITY RED FLAG EVENTS BEFORE THE DEVASTATING WINE COUNTRY
FIRES. SHOULD WE BE LUCKY ENOUGH TO GET THROUGH TOMORROWS WIND
EVENT WOULD ASK FOR CONTINUED VIGILANCE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND
WIND EVENT.
southern CA.. increasing the number of customers
SoCal Edison Considers Shutting Off Power For 132K Customers Amid Wildfire Concerns
https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2019/10/22/socal-edison-shutoff-wildfire/
PG&E : 179,000 customers will have power cut starting now
Southern CA: 300,000 customers warned they may loose power within 48 hours
It takes 24-48 to restore power once the threat is over
This weekend a repeat
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