Posted on 12/12/2019 2:05:27 PM PST by outpostinmass2
Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party is on course for a huge majority in Parliament, according to an exit poll from the UK’s three main broadcasters.
The projections will be a big disappointment for Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party and suggests Johnson will be able to pass his Brexit deal comfortably.
The exit poll is usually fairly accurate but a lot can still change as the night progresses and actual results begin to come through. Here’s the exact seat numbers from the exit poll, which predicts a huge Conservative win. 326 seats are needed for a majority.
Conservatives: 368
Labour: 191
SNP: 55
Liberal Democrats: 13
Plaid Cmyru: 3
A handful of smaller parties have also been projected to pick up seats.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
What the heck are you talking about? Even after the Tories have reached the minimum for majority, SKY is still predicting a majority of 80-some seats. A HUGE win.
Looking at different web results then. The Guardian shows Conservatives only up 7 (from 326) but there are still over 40 seats left to come in.
You were looking at the same results, you just didn’t realize that most of the seats left were safe Tory.
It’s up to 349 now. Labour on 201. 23 left.
Polls have closed, and the usually reliable exit poll predicts a Conservative majority of around 80 seats, with Labour losing about 70. Find out what’s happening in every constituency as the official results are announced.
No where near a majority of 80 seats; they are up 17 with another 30 seats left to count so if all go conservative (unlikely) they will be up 47. Labour has lost 40 seats (not 70) so while there is a win, it is not as big as the exit polls predicted.
The conservatives have picked up 65 seats so far with some more to be counted. The other big winner was the Scottish party which has picked up 13 seats. Labour has lost 41 so far and the Lib Dems -10. No doubt a pleasant night/morning for Boris.
Awesome news!!
1. The Guardian is the most far-left newspaper in Virginia. Going for their for results is like going to DU.
2. Conservatives are on 353 seats RIGHT NOW according to BBC. With 17 seats left to declare. Of those 17, 10 are currently held by Conservatives. If they simply hold their currently held seats and flip nothing else, they be on 363. The Exit poll originally had them on 368. Anything over 360 is a massive landslide.
3. You are flipping the script. You said the Conservatives would barely make 326. You were dead wrong. Admit it.
Oops I meant the UK. Not Virginia. LOL.
Looks like the exit poll was pretty close in seat totals, off on some seats, they predicted 2 Tories in Scotland and it’s 6. Labour overshot it by 11 seats so far at 202.
Which is still fewer Labour seats than Michael Foot won in 1983 (209).
You are also counting a majority wrong. When the exit poll came out, they said “a majority of 86.” That was on 368. You have to understand what that means in a Westminster system.
It’s not simply how many seats above 326 that a party has.
A quick way of working this out is to take away 325 from the number of seats that winning party has got and double the result. For example: 350-325=25*2 = Majority of 50.
A 363 seat win would be as follows: 363-325=38*2 = a Majority of 76.
1. Someone posted the Guardian link. Don’t see a difference as long as the results are accurate. Sort of like the NY Times or CNN posting results in the US - They are fake news for everything else.
2. They will make 360+ (at 359 right now.)
3. Yeah, I was wrong - in the US the Rat infested cities report last so they know how many votes they need to make up to win.
Make England Great Again
Not real intuitive, but I see how it’s done - for every seat gained, another has to be lost as the total number of seats has to remain the same.
Been following this on some of the Brit feeds. Slaughter. Tomorrow will be a very interesting day.
263 or 264 Conservatives, depending on a seat that won’t declare until 8:30 am our time because it contains some stupid islands. Probably a hold but could go to Lib Dems.
My guesstimate yesterday was 262.
Prediction and what it turned out to be.
Conservatives: 368 363
Labour: 191 203
SNP: 55 48
Liberal Democrats: 13 11
Blowout.
Make that 364 or 365.
And my guess was 362.
There is no such thing as a stupid island. But stoopit is as stoopit does.
No. Ireland would be interesting to look at.
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