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Four ‘generations’ of spread seen with virus in China, alarming experts
STAT News ^ | JANUARY 23, 2020 | HELEN BRANSWELL

Posted on 01/23/2020 3:30:44 PM PST by PA Engineer

Emerging data on the new virus circulating in China adds to evidence there is sustained human-to-human transmission in the city of Wuhan, and that a single case was able to ignite a chain of other infections.

The World Health Organization reported Thursday that there have been at least four generations of spread of the new virus, provisionally called 2019-nCoV, meaning a person who contracted the virus from a non-human source — presumably an animal — has infected a person, who infected another person, who then infected another person.

It’s not clear from a WHO statement whether transmission petered out after that point, or whether further generations of cases from those chains are still to come.

The WHO said the current estimate of the reproductive rate of the virus — the number of people, on average, that each infected person infects — is between 1.4 and 2.5. To stop an outbreak, the reproduction number has to be brought below one.

(Excerpt) Read more at statnews.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; china; coronavirus; disease
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To: PA Engineer

“has infected a person, who infected another person, who then infected another person”

Unlike the flu, where a one big fat virus infects everyone at the same time.

Sheesh.


21 posted on 01/23/2020 4:01:34 PM PST by fruser1
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To: dp0622

I don’t know. I think this post is worthy of somebody posting the little stick guys running around screaming.


22 posted on 01/23/2020 4:02:33 PM PST by griffin
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To: dp0622
It’s a little early to go into end of days mode :)

Uh, you're saying it's too soon to go cannibal? Asking for a friend.

23 posted on 01/23/2020 4:03:49 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: fruser1

If like becoming zombies, the end of the world has arrived ten years early.

Sorry Greta, when Captain Trips is knocking at your door, I don’t give a rip about climate change.

Save it for someone who cares.


24 posted on 01/23/2020 4:05:22 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: PA Engineer

Coincidence?

http://www.nature.com/news/inside-the-chinese-lab-poised-to-study-world-s-most-dangerous-pathogens-1.21487


25 posted on 01/23/2020 4:05:36 PM PST by sanjuanbob
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To: Billthedrill

When you’re a flesh eating mutant, you’re a devolved Democrat.


26 posted on 01/23/2020 4:08:28 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Revel

Wuhan is the site of a major infectious disease lab. Could possibly be a Biological Warfare lab.

Brings to mind the 1970’s British SciFi TV show “Survivors”. It’s on YouTube.


27 posted on 01/23/2020 4:10:49 PM PST by fella ("As it was before Noah so shall it be again,")
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To: Syncro

“Isn’t there at least one case here in the USA, in Washington State?”

Maybe one now in CA and one in Texas


28 posted on 01/23/2020 4:11:48 PM PST by setter
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To: PA Engineer

With a 14 day incubation period, nobody knows how many are infected, much less how to control it.

While they suspect it’s transmitted via respiration, there’s no certainty at this point. But the recent pressure is on surface sanitation.

If this virus is hearty for hours or even days on doorknobs etc., the 14 day incubation makes this quarantine the only possible means of stopping it’s spread outside the region.

Which would have to be followed by thorough sanitation.

I would not want to be in Wuhan right now. It may be a while before anyone gets out.


29 posted on 01/23/2020 4:12:22 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: BenLurkin

Is that from the movie Contagion?

That movie really stayed with me, and not in a good way.


30 posted on 01/23/2020 4:13:58 PM PST by freedomlover
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To: PA Engineer

As I’ve said on some other threads, my in-laws in China say that “many” are sick, that the news or their government is reporting almost nothing compared to what they see.

Considering that it is airborne now, apartment air handling is going to be infected in those giant complexes there, driving the numbers very quickly.

Very small number of hospital beds per each city compared to population, combined with the complete lack of private practices there. If you are sick or have any need for medical care, you go to the hospital in China, take a number, and wait. Doesn’t matter if you have a runny nose or a stroke or heart attack.

This has the ability to run over their health system within the next few days.

As for quarantine of cities, EVERY road has gates, with PLA soldiers. When they close a city, it’s closed, period. Business is thankfully shit down there all this week for the holiday, next week too now. Or longer.

I just hope it doesn’t mutate and become more lethal. Most deaths are elderly, but try to imagine losing your parents right now.


31 posted on 01/23/2020 4:15:35 PM PST by datura
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To: Publius
Exactly

the same story line
Chinese exotic food
air travel carrier
spread world wide in days .

32 posted on 01/23/2020 4:15:37 PM PST by ncalburt (Gop DC Globalists)
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To: PA Engineer

Perfect scenario/excuse for ISOLATION/EXTERMINATION via CRIMINAL STATE POWER CENTERS around the world.


33 posted on 01/23/2020 4:16:48 PM PST by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: Mariner

Agreed. BTTT.


34 posted on 01/23/2020 4:17:21 PM PST by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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To: freedomlover
Yes. Though I think that disease was some kind of Ebola thing more than a SARS type of thing.


35 posted on 01/23/2020 4:18:39 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: griffin

The virus could not survive the amount of time involved in ground (sea) shipment. But 2 or 3 day shipment? Yes.


36 posted on 01/23/2020 4:20:35 PM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc O'Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: datura

Where in China are they?


37 posted on 01/23/2020 4:22:44 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: sanjuanbob

Good find. It’s quite the coincidence.


38 posted on 01/23/2020 4:24:19 PM PST by wgmalabama
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To: datura

FR investigative reporting at its finest. Thanks


39 posted on 01/23/2020 4:25:28 PM PST by Cold Heart (.)
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To: Syncro

Another maybe in Texas.


40 posted on 01/23/2020 4:26:48 PM PST by Captain Peter Blood (https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/3804407/posts?q=1&;page=61)
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