Posted on 02/01/2020 2:14:55 PM PST by janetjanet998
There are currently 13,950 confirmed cases worldwide, including 304 fatalities.
I guess I meant, if there were only 100 confirmed in a city of 11M, what are the odds someone would catch it in the airport having only been there 2hrs?
How many other people at the airport that day, and subsequent, caught it?
And spread it
and travelled?
I just got a chance to look at the updated curve(s) on Johns Hopkins’ 2019-nCoV Global Cases page.
14,567 confirmed cases. Yikes! We’d better hope that is a quirk in the data, because that figure turns the curve of confirmed cases back to acceleration. Slow acceleration, but acceleration nonetheless. I was hoping we’d see the curve slope decrease again just a bit.
IF the confirmed cases keep doubling every 80 hours or so (off the top of my head estimate - not a calculation, but should be close enough for my next calculation), then we have:
+80 hours - 29134 confirmed cases
+160 hours - 58,268 confirmed cases
+240 hours - 116,536 confirmed cases
+320 hours - 233,072 confirmed cases
+400 hours - 466,144 confirmed cases
+480 hours - 932,288 confirmed cases
+560 hours - 1,864,576 confirmed cases
+640 hours - 3,729,152 confirmed cases
+720 hours (30 days) - 7,458,304 confirmed cases
+1440 hours (60 days) - 3,818,651,684 confirmed cases
“Obviously” other factors will come into play before we get to 60 days, and governments will take increasingly desperate actions to limit the contagion. But... Those actions may be scarier than the disease, in some cases. If this goes on, the economic repercussions are almost unthinkable.
The New York patient was asymptomatic and traveling around the city before going to be checked. I consider him patient 0 for NYC.
Yep.
Oh, terrible!
It is in their food. Dont need direct contact with a sick person.
In one month we will be like China today. Certain cities will be like Wuhan. Hundreds of city dwellers will die. Just like in China. If the current trends do not change.
The Hong Kong modelling (done early last week?) had Wuhan hitting the peak at the end of April :(
My wild a$$ guess at the Ro.
3.33
On third generation
Patient Zero dies
or
eventually does not die yet
Have no clue at all where this could have come from. Except of course, Chinese take out. Stay safe.
“3.33”
Half of 6.66.
Reuters
@Reuters
·
3m
Cocktail of flu, HIV drugs appears to help fight coronavirus: Thai doctors https://reut.rs/2ubRlnh
BREAKING: 10th case of coronavirus confirmed in Germany.
spraying people down coming off of airplanes
This is how Indonesia is Battling #Coronarivus
They call it disinfection.
https://twitter.com/AfricaRepublic/status/1223922196780867584
He was there for a layover of 2hrs.
As of 1/14 there were fewer than 100 ‘confirmed’ cases in Wuhan.
with things like this, with lots of people from Wuhan testing positive in other Chinese cities.... and the percent of people tested positive on the returning planes so far and the
me thinks at least 3% of the total population of Wuhan has it....many might not even know it yet .......3% of 12M is 360,000 people from Wuhan alone
Japan has confirmed an additional 3 cases of nCov among evacuees from the Chinese city of Wuhan. Including one who initially tested negative.
One of the three, a man in his 40s who had symptoms such as fever and coughing, first tested negative for nCov.
Can you imagine the outcry from the snowflakes and everyone else who is not paying attention.
Don’t cook outside....your starving neighbors will climb over your fence.
‘Cuz we have ten million courses of that in a warehouse somewhere.
This confirms reports out of Wuhan where individuals appear to recover then have a sudden, severe relapse. This is why I believe the “recovered” cases are so low, they have to be watched a long time.
“BREAKING: Philippines health officials say that in the #coronavirus patient’s last few days, he was stable and showed signs of improvement, however, the condition of the patient deteriorated within his last 24 hours resulting in his death - CNN Philippines”
https://twitter.com/LIVEBreakingNow/status/1223821665940828161
from your link
A Japanese government official who was handling accommodations for returnees from Wuhan was found dead at one of the facilities, and his death seen as a possible suicide, Japanese media reported on Sunday, amid criticism of government handling of the coronavirus
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