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I’m local (West Des Moines) and have been paid by candidates for voter data analysis. I’ll check this stuff out carefully.

Paul Pate, whom I can personally vouch for, says flat out the claims are false.

Well Pate doesn't go into much detail on the sos site, he just says JW is wrong, go to our website for accurate numbers. He doesn't say much on why JW's numbers are so far off. But, considering they've already won at least one SC case, I would tend to believe JW isn't entirely off-base here. Maybe they pulled incorrect numbers from somewhere, or one guy made a typo(s), but they have a history with Ohio, Kentucky, LA, etc of doing a good job cleaning up the rolls that the government didn't.

But we should definitely have a much better idea of both of their accuracies with the full census coming up soon.

Well a quick look around, Wikipedia shows the Dallas County 2010 census at 66M people. So JW’s population of ~80M definitely is accounting for population growth. Side note, Dallas County is decently heavily Republican, so that’s an oddity, usually these kinds of issues show up in Dem-heavy areas.

So, the off-set numbers have to be from the registered voters lists, and those look close to me. Pate’s official website’s pdf numbers show 62,825 registered voters (Dallas County). A total population of 80M should give about 60M registered voters. (US is estimated 245MM/323MM for 2016, or 75.8% of the population being voting-age.)

So, just a quick look and I’d say JW’s percentage of 114% registered looks decently accurate. Maybe a little high, but it’s definitely not even close to the 70% average across these US. It’s far enough from the national mean to definitely warrant a closer look.