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To: MrEdd

Bloomberg probably knew what to expect. He is not in it for delegate count except perhaps to deny anyone else a majority. He is running for the only delegates that matter, the superdelegates who will decide for the DNC’s preferred Candidate should no one get a majority in the primaries. It is much more efficient to spread money around to a much smaller number of voters, the supers, in order to purchase the position. Bloom was on the stage to register his presence, nothing more.


6 posted on 02/22/2020 4:29:33 AM PST by arthurus (>/\\)
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To: arthurus

“He is not in it for delegate count except perhaps to deny anyone else a majority. He is running for the only delegates that matter, the super-delegates who will decide for the DNC’s preferred Candidate should no one get a majority in the primaries.

i think not, and here’s why:

On second and subsequent ballots at the 2020 Dem convention, it takes a minimum of 2,376 delegate votes to win a majority. There are only 775 unpledged (super) delegates, so even if mini-mike secures all 775 super-delegate votes (very unlikely), he still needs to win a minimum of 1,601 pledged delegates during the primaries/caucuses elections, meaning that mini-mike would need to win at least 41% of the total 3,979 pledged delegates available to be won during the primary/caucus elections ...

making that feat even more difficult, a candidate wins zero pledged delegates during a state primary/caucus if they don’t win at least 15% of the total votes cast by the electorate in that state, and the polls are showing mini-mike is barely meeting that threshold in most states, and these are polls taken BEFORE mini-mike’s disastrous debate performance ...

personally, at this point, i think mini-mike’s chances of being the Dem nominee are close to zero ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries


29 posted on 02/22/2020 5:42:09 AM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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