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OK - Lets do a little math … 7.7 BILLION people in the world

If:

40%-60% get the virus, that's, 3.08 - 4.62 Billion people infected.

at 1% death rate: 30.8 - 46.2 million deaths

at 2% death rate: 61.6 - 92.4 million deaths

at 10% death rate; 308 - 462 million deaths …

Likely to become the defining event of this generation ...

1 posted on 02/24/2020 1:10:49 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Oh noes... WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!


2 posted on 02/24/2020 1:12:32 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 11th_VA

Yeah and this too shall pass and the vast majority of us won’t be the 2 percent.

And it will slash SS and medicare costs in the long run :)


3 posted on 02/24/2020 1:13:23 PM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to makne ends meet)
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To: 11th_VA

Well, that which doesn’t kill us, makes us stronger!


5 posted on 02/24/2020 1:14:37 PM PST by ArtDodger
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To: 11th_VA

In Italy, several of the six deaths were over 80 yrs old.


8 posted on 02/24/2020 1:15:35 PM PST by txrefugee
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COVID-19 Spreadsheet using JHU data

File XLSX

File XLS

9 posted on 02/24/2020 1:16:08 PM PST by DoughtyOne (The DNC has a taxidermist on speed dial for Nancy, Hillary, and Ruth.)
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To: 11th_VA

Heck, Barry Obummer’s buddy, Billy Bob Ayers, only wants to kill 25,000,000 Americans.

https://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/politics/item/2455-obamas-friend-ayers-kill-25-million-americans


11 posted on 02/24/2020 1:16:59 PM PST by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: 11th_VA

It’s been a long time since I had the flu, but I remember it vividly. I’m going to go, sooner rather than later, but going via the flu is not high on my list of options.


13 posted on 02/24/2020 1:17:44 PM PST by brownsfan (Behold, the power of government cheese.)
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To: 11th_VA

Even if you don’t die, if you get it there is a 20% chance you are going to be extremely sick and in the hospital for 2 to 3 weeks, likely on oxygen or a ventilator, and may very well have permanent damage to your lungs and other organs. Plus there is the risk of relapse later, which medical authorities don’t understand yet.

I hope this puts this in perspective, everyone is whistling past the graveyard on this.


17 posted on 02/24/2020 1:19:03 PM PST by kaehurowing
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To: 11th_VA

For Pennsylvania..........

So far, no cases have been confirmed in Pennsylvania. A foreign exchange student in Philadelphia was tested earlier for the virus but ‘was cleared’......”At this time, there have not been any cases confirmed in the state. .. said Brittany Lauffer, a spokesperson for the Pennsylvania Department of Health.


18 posted on 02/24/2020 1:19:47 PM PST by caww
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To: 11th_VA
Remember the Bird Flu (H5N1)? Swine Flu (H1N1)? SARS?

Maybe this time we'll have a proper pandemic, instead of just another scare.

19 posted on 02/24/2020 1:20:54 PM PST by Yo-Yo ( is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: 11th_VA

You can get this virus more than once(Each time it is more likely to kill you).

It takes weeks to show up even though you can pass it on before you have symptoms.

It can survive on surfaces for more than 10 days.

It appears to be altering itself.

I really don’t think that the world will ever be rid of this thing.


21 posted on 02/24/2020 1:21:44 PM PST by Revel
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To: 11th_VA

WHOEVER eats the filthy animals that this came from MUST be executed. No other solution is acceptable.


23 posted on 02/24/2020 1:22:20 PM PST by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: 11th_VA

I thought we all had 10 years left.


24 posted on 02/24/2020 1:22:20 PM PST by seawolf101 (Member LES DEPLORABLES)
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To: 11th_VA

Yes. My thought exactly.

3 billion infected within this year.

It tells me this expert is insane.

No one can be that stupid.

I remember when they said AIDS would decimate entire generations.


26 posted on 02/24/2020 1:22:53 PM PST by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: 11th_VA

Marc Lipsitch @mlipsitch

P*ssy hat a day early. Couldn’t wait to express views on our new president

Image

8:06 AM · Jan 20, 2017

https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/822430123806822401


34 posted on 02/24/2020 1:26:18 PM PST by McGruff
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To: 11th_VA

Marc Lipsitch, a professor of epidemiology at the Harvard Chan School of Public Health (HSPH), and director of the school’s Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, helped lead one of the two teams that first calculated the reproductive number of SARS in the 2002-2003 outbreak.

The disease appears to be transmitting pretty effectively, probably in Korea, probably in Japan, and probably in Iran.” He has estimated that 40 to 70 percent of the adult global population will eventually become infected.

That said, “Infected is different from sick,” he is careful to point out. “Only some of those people who become infected will become sick.” As noted above, only about 1 percent to 2 percent of those who have become sick thus far have died, he says. But the number of people who are infected may be far greater than the number of those who are sick. “In a way,” he says, “that’s really good news. Because if every person who had the disease was also sick, then that would imply gigantic numbers” of deaths from the disease.

https://harvardmagazine.com/2020/02/fighting-sars-2


39 posted on 02/24/2020 1:27:54 PM PST by Moonman62 (Charity comes from wealth.)
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To: 11th_VA

Wait, I was told back in the 80’s that straights would die from AIDS. This is confusing. Why are they trying to frighten us? Do they want.....KAOS? Oh, the humanity......


41 posted on 02/24/2020 1:29:12 PM PST by gathersnomoss (Welcf theome to North Mexico, Gringo's it...)
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To: 11th_VA
Likely to become the defining event of this generation ...

Or not. I'll believe it when I see it. I am fairly confident I will be around to see President Trump reelected and see him through his entire 4 year second term despite being an old geezer.
I think the media is pushing this story hard in an attempt to tank the economy and the stock market and get Trump defeated. Not gonna happen

46 posted on 02/24/2020 1:31:48 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: 11th_VA

There are three kinds of approaches when it comes to Coronavirus and I see them all three on the FR.

1) The “Oh Noes” crowd.

These are the “great unconcerned” who think Coronavirus will amount to a big nothing. They joke about it and laugh it off as if the rest are fools for not realizing what they know. I suspect many in this category use this approach as a way of working out their denial and or fear.

2) The - “Very Frightened crowd.

I am in no way attemping to make light of this category. They are actively thinking about their death, wondering if this is they way they’ll die, thinking of loves ones and sure that doom is coming. They foresee the overwhelming of hospitals and the total collapse of society. They are currently in the flight or fight syndrome.

3) The “I’ve Got This ...” crowd”.

These folks have accepted that Coronavirus is coming, that it’s going to a big event but are at peace with themselves. They’ve passed through the denial and then the fear stages and into acceptance. They feel they’ll probably get Coronavirus but most likely survive or maybe that they’ll die because of underlying health issues and yet still are at peace. They’ve resolved to be a light in this moment that is approaching us and to never show panic to those suffering.


53 posted on 02/24/2020 1:36:09 PM PST by GulfMan
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To: 11th_VA

The overall greater space, clean air and general cleanliness of the USA (compared to China or Hong Kong) will help restrict its spread here as well.

You can also greatly decrease your own odds of getting CoVad-19 (or any virus) by simply washing your hands very regularly, NOT touching your face or head, keeping space between you and others in public areas, and wiping-down/sterilizing things like door handles, light switches, computer keypads, etc…that you touch regularly.


56 posted on 02/24/2020 1:36:44 PM PST by PGR88
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