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Britain's coronavirus crisis could last until Spring 2021 with up to 8MILLION people - or 15% of the population - hospitalised, secret NHS briefing reveals - as death toll leaps 14 in a day to 35
Daily Mail ^ | 03-15-2020 | Joe Middleton

Posted on 03/15/2020 8:05:08 PM PDT by NRx

Britain's coronavirus crisis could last until Spring 2021 and see 7.9million people hospitalised, a secret briefing for senior NHS figures has revealed.

The document, seen by The Guardian newspaper, shows that health chiefs expect the virus to last for another 12 months, and details how it will impact key staff in the NHS, police and fire brigade.

It says: 'As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalisation.'

It is understood the document was drawn up in recent days by Public Health England's preparedness and response team.

Dr Susan Hopkins, Deputy Director of PHE’s National Infection Service said: 'PHE used reasonable worse-case scenario figures, to restate the importance for people with symptoms to stay at home, including health care workers in order to reduce the spread of the virus.'

Paul Hunter, a professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia, and expert in epidemiology said: 'For the public to hear that it could last for 12 months, people are going to be really upset about that and pretty worried about that'

'A year is entirely plausible. But that figure isn't well appreciated or understood.'

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: chickenlittle; covid19; hysterialvl99; oritmightendinapril; skyisfalling
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Don't worry. It's no worse than a bad flue season. /s
1 posted on 03/15/2020 8:05:08 PM PDT by NRx
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To: NRx

Italy’s coronavirus toll surges as worries grow over hospitals
(Sunday March 15)

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy/italys-coronavirus-toll-surges-as-worries-grow-over-hospitals-idUSKBN2120XN

MILAN (Reuters) - Italy recorded 368 more deaths from the coronavirus outbreak on Sunday, its biggest one day rise, amid growing concern about the ability of its strained health system to cope with the relentless increase in new cases.

While the virus has begun spreading rapidly across Europe, Italy remains the second most heavily affected country in the world after China, where the illness first emerged, and the outbreak has shown no signs of slowing.

The government is working urgently on procuring more protective equipment, Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte said, adding there was maximum attention on helping Lombardy, the northern region where the virus emerged just over three weeks ago.

“Our priority is to keep doctors, nurses and all our health personnel safe,” Conte said in a statement a week after his government imposed a virtual lockdown across the country in a bid to contain the spread of the virus.

With 24,747 cases and 1,809 deaths by Sunday - a rise of 368 or 25% in the death toll in just 24 hours - Italy’s experience has offered an alarming example for other European countries which have begun seeing sharp rises in cases over recent days.

Lombardy, the heavily populated area around the financial capital Milan, has been the worst-affected region with 1,218 deaths. Of those, 252 were recorded in the last 24 hours.


2 posted on 03/15/2020 8:06:00 PM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: NRx

What did the Chinese do that the Brits couldn’t do?


3 posted on 03/15/2020 8:10:44 PM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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To: Travis McGee

The demogrhics dying are the same deoms dying of the flu.

they point to exceptions but there’s exception to those who die from flu

hysteria abounds


4 posted on 03/15/2020 8:12:06 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Pearls Before Swine

China is a totalitarian police state. When they tell people to stay indoors and post armed troops and police with orders to “enforce” the quarantine... people tend to pay attention.


5 posted on 03/15/2020 8:14:25 PM PDT by NRx (A man of honor passes his father's civilization to his son without surrendering it to strangers.)
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To: Pearls Before Swine

What did the Chinese do that the Brits couldn’t do?

Lie. China must have 750,000,000 cases by now and well over 50 million deaths. Life is cheap there. Life is cheap


6 posted on 03/15/2020 8:16:04 PM PDT by RonnG (')
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To: Travis McGee

Yes, it’s certainly good that America is not Italy with its army of Chinese workers slaving away in the many hundreds of sweatshops in Italy (and carrying/transmitting the Wuhan Coronavirus).


7 posted on 03/15/2020 8:16:04 PM PDT by House Atreides (Boycott the NFL 100% — PERMANENTLY)
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To: Secret Agent Man

“The demogrhics dying are the same deoms dying of the flu.”

(No, they get to the hospital first, because they are weakest. As long as total case #s are low, everybody gets an ICU bed adn a ventilator who needs one. But once hospitals are overrun (Italy) and all ICU beds/ventilators are taken, the infection begins to kill younger folks. Read this. I could post ten more links, this will do.

Not Just Seniors: French Doctors Report 50% Of ICU Patients Under 60 Years Old, Netherlands Under 50

https://www.zerohedge.com/health/not-just-seniors-french-doctors-report-50-icu-patients-under-60-years-old-netherlands-under


8 posted on 03/15/2020 8:16:06 PM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Pearls Before Swine
"What did the Chinese do that the Brits couldn’t do?"

You ready for these rules?


9 posted on 03/15/2020 8:17:26 PM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Secret Agent Man

8 million people over the next year will not be treated by NHS. They don’t have the capacity. Or they are preparing phony stats where being treated includes getting a test and no other health services provided. If it is difficult or costly Brits have to go elsewhere or wait until they die. Unless of course they are “important”.

As an example, to solve to people in the waiting room too long, they passed a rule that they had to be seen within so many hours of arrival. The practical solution? They would not bring them in from the Ambulance till they could be seen. Same time frame, and within the rules. It is a bureaucratic solution, and the stats will be okay. The patients, not so much.

DK


10 posted on 03/15/2020 8:18:31 PM PDT by Dark Knight
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To: Pearls Before Swine

Mitigation / the authoritarian regime didn’t hesitate once they realized what needed to be done. The West has blinked and it’s too late.


11 posted on 03/15/2020 8:19:16 PM PDT by Frapster (Don't tread on me.)
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To: Travis McGee

Ive seen it, they are still older folks or muslims. They tried to make a story about some teen kid and hes a muslim.


12 posted on 03/15/2020 8:21:20 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: House Atreides
Good point about the Chinese textile workers. They seeded N. Italy with CV more deeply and earlier than the rest of Europe or the USA. This allows Italy to serve as our last warning for you "It's Just The Flu!" morons.

Which is why I post these warnings, which morons like you take as an inducement to panic, or an attack on Trump.

.

.

13 posted on 03/15/2020 8:22:46 PM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Secret Agent Man

I’ll bet 2 weeks ago you were one of the “It Only Infects Asians” morons.

Get back to me in a month.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/britains-youngest-coronavirus-death-confirmed-21696866


14 posted on 03/15/2020 8:25:51 PM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: NRx

Bad time to be missing EU nurses because of Brexit.


15 posted on 03/15/2020 8:26:06 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: NRx
Party of me is beginning to think that we've reached the point of the Salem Witch Hysteria25.
16 posted on 03/15/2020 8:27:43 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Secret Agent Man

Please tell me you really aren’t this stupid.


17 posted on 03/15/2020 8:28:22 PM PDT by bigdaddy45
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To: NRx

And all a bit media hoax to hurt Trump. Don’t forget that one....


18 posted on 03/15/2020 8:29:47 PM PDT by bigdaddy45
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To: Travis McGee

Emotional Non-reading Projector, where did I say “only”?

The stories themselves, the scientists and docs were saying greater susceptibility in asian and middle eastern folks. Italy has the highest percentage of muzzies in it in europe. Plus hygiene issues in these areas hasn’t helped, with this or any other infectious disease.

This, like any other disease, hits infirm, elderly, and people living in tight packed spaces. there’s not a lot of surprise as to who’s been hit hardest by it.


19 posted on 03/15/2020 8:29:53 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: bigdaddy45

I’m as stupid as you are gullible and hysterical.


20 posted on 03/15/2020 8:30:59 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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