Ok, let's keep it real. They can't know the fatality rate without testing EVERYONE. They are now only testing people showing symptoms that complain about them enough to go get tested. On top of that, there is a scarcity of tests.
There is hard evidence that there are carriers who present minor or no symptoms who will never be tested. All of these people would go into the denominator of the fatality rate.
No one should quote such fatality statistics as "facts." The fact is, we simply don't know what the fatality rate is, but it is definitely lower than what we can measure at the moment.
That’s why I keep saying watch the number of deaths. There can still be an error in “cause of death” but about the death itself there is no argument.
Once again, as I have already said multiple times, case fatality rates are not based on hypothetical asymptomatic cases. They are based on diagnosed cases. The reason I do not present my quick calculations as case fatality rates is because the pandemic is still in progress, and case fatality rates can only be calculated after all known cases have been resolved.
I know someone right now who wanted to get tested but could not, despite her strong belief that she could have it (son visited from Korea). But to balance that, known contacts of people who have gotten Covid-19 ARE being tested.
Do not stake your hopes on the notion that this is really circulating among everyone and we are only hearing about the most serious cases. That kind of belief, and the failure to take precautions stemming from it, is how this thing can get seriously out of hand. I hope you are familiar with basic infection control measures and are practicing them.
“They can’t know the fatality rate without testing EVERYONE.
....There is hard evidence that there are carriers who present minor or no symptoms who will never be tested. All of these people would go into the denominator of the fatality rate.
No one should quote such fatality statistics as “facts.” The fact is, we simply don’t know what the fatality rate is, but it is definitely lower than what we can measure at the moment.”
So your default is zero or wait until half the population is infected?
Remember both the infection rate and death rate for COV19 are being under-reported.