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The COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic has a natural origin, scientists say
www.scripps.edu ^ | March 17, 2020 | Staff

Posted on 03/18/2020 2:12:55 PM PDT by Red Badger

The novel SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus that emerged in the city of Wuhan, China, last year and has since caused a large scale COVID-19 epidemic and spread to more than 70 other countries is the product of natural evolution, according to findings published today in the journal Nature Medicine.

The analysis of public genome sequence data from SARS-CoV-2 and related viruses found no evidence that the virus was made in a laboratory or otherwise engineered.

“By comparing the available genome sequence data for known coronavirus strains, we can firmly determine that SARS-CoV-2 originated through natural processes,” said Kristian Andersen, PhD, an associate professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research and corresponding author on the paper.

In addition to Andersen, authors on the paper, "The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2," include Robert F. Garry, of Tulane University; Edward Holmes, of the University of Sydney; Andrew Rambaut, of University of Edinburgh; W. Ian Lipkin, of Columbia University.

Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses that can cause illnesses ranging widely in severity. The first known severe illness caused by a coronavirus emerged with the 2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) epidemic in China. A second outbreak of severe illness began in 2012 in Saudi Arabia with the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS).

On December 31 of last year, Chinese authorities alerted the World Health Organization of an outbreak of a novel strain of coronavirus causing severe illness, which was subsequently named SARS-CoV-2. As of February 20, 2020, nearly 167,500 COVID-19 cases have been documented, although many more mild cases have likely gone undiagnosed. The virus has killed over 6,600 people.

Shortly after the epidemic began, Chinese scientists sequenced the genome of SARS-CoV-2 and made the data available to researchers worldwide. The resulting genomic sequence data has shown that Chinese authorities rapidly detected the epidemic and that the number of COVID-19 cases have been increasing because of human to human transmission after a single introduction into the human population. Andersen and collaborators at several other research institutions used this sequencing data to explore the origins and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 by focusing in on several tell-tale features of the virus.

The scientists analyzed the genetic template for spike proteins, armatures on the outside of the virus that it uses to grab and penetrate the outer walls of human and animal cells. More specifically, they focused on two important features of the spike protein: the receptor-binding domain (RBD), a kind of grappling hook that grips onto host cells, and the cleavage site, a molecular can opener that allows the virus to crack open and enter host cells.

Evidence for natural evolution

The scientists found that the RBD portion of the SARS-CoV-2 spike proteins had evolved to effectively target a molecular feature on the outside of human cells called ACE2, a receptor involved in regulating blood pressure. The SARS-CoV-2 spike protein was so effective at binding the human cells, in fact, that the scientists concluded it was the result of natural selection and not the product of genetic engineering.

This evidence for natural evolution was supported by data on SARS-CoV-2’s backbone – its overall molecular structure. If someone were seeking to engineer a new coronavirus as a pathogen, they would have constructed it from the backbone of a virus known to cause illness. But the scientists found that the SARS-CoV-2 backbone differed substantially from those of already known coronaviruses and mostly resembled related viruses found in bats and pangolins.

“These two features of the virus, the mutations in the RBD portion of the spike protein and its distinct backbone, rules out laboratory manipulation as a potential origin for SARS-CoV-2” said Andersen.

Josie Golding, PhD, epidemics lead at UK-based Wellcome Trust, said the findings by Andersen and his colleagues are “crucially important to bring an evidence-based view to the rumors that have been circulating about the origins of the virus (SARS-CoV-2) causing COVID-19.”

“They conclude that the virus is the product of natural evolution,” Golding adds, “ending any speculation about deliberate genetic engineering.”

Possible origins of the virus

Based on their genomic sequencing analysis, Andersen and his collaborators concluded that the most likely origins for SARS-CoV-2 followed one of two possible scenarios.

In one scenario, the virus evolved to its current pathogenic state through natural selection in a non-human host and then jumped to humans. This is how previous coronavirus outbreaks have emerged, with humans contracting the virus after direct exposure to civets (SARS) and camels (MERS). The researchers proposed bats as the most likely reservoir for SARS-CoV-2 as it is very similar to a bat coronavirus. There are no documented cases of direct bat-human transmission, however, suggesting that an intermediate host was likely involved between bats and humans.

In this scenario, both of the distinctive features of SARS-CoV-2’s spike protein—the RBD portion that binds to cells and the cleavage site that opens the virus up—would have evolved to their current state prior to entering humans. In this case, the current epidemic would probably have emerged rapidly as soon as humans were infected, as the virus would have already evolved the features that make it pathogenic and able to spread between people.

In the other proposed scenario, a non-pathogenic version of the virus jumped from an animal host into humans and then evolved to its current pathogenic state within the human population. For instance, some coronaviruses from pangolins, armadillo-like mammals found in Asia and Africa, have an RBD structure very similar to that of SARS-CoV-2. A coronavirus from a pangolin could possibly have been transmitted to a human, either directly or through an intermediary host such as civets or ferrets.

Then the other distinct spike protein characteristic of SARS-CoV-2, the cleavage site, could have evolved within a human host, possibly via limited undetected circulation in the human population prior to the beginning of the epidemic. The researchers found that the SARS-CoV-2 cleavage site, appears similar to the cleavage sites of strains of bird flu that has been shown to transmit easily between people. SARS-CoV-2 could have evolved such a virulent cleavage site in human cells and soon kicked off the current epidemic, as the coronavirus would possibly have become far more capable of spreading between people.

Study co-author Andrew Rambaut cautioned that it is difficult if not impossible to know at this point which of the scenarios is most likely. If the SARS-CoV-2 entered humans in its current pathogenic form from an animal source, it raises the probability of future outbreaks, as the illness-causing strain of the virus could still be circulating in the animal population and might once again jump into humans. The chances are lower of a non-pathogenic coronavirus entering the human population and then evolving properties similar to SARS-CoV-2.

Funding for the research was provided by the US National Institutes of Health, the Pew Charitable Trusts, the Wellcome Trust, the European Research Council, and an ARC Australian Laureate Fellowship.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: chinavirusorigin; coronavirus; covid19; dsj02; kungflu; wuhan
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Electron microscopy photo of the COVID-19 coronavirus

1 posted on 03/18/2020 2:12:55 PM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Or at least that’s our story that avoids WW III and we’re sticking to it.


2 posted on 03/18/2020 2:13:45 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Red Badger

The Chicomms paid some heavy bucks/ yuan to bribe for that BS story.


3 posted on 03/18/2020 2:15:11 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: Red Badger

“The analysis of public genome sequence data from SARS-CoV-2 and related viruses found no evidence that the virus was made in a laboratory or otherwise engineered.”

Nice to see this published.

This does not mean it was not cultured, archived and studied in the Wuhan Coronavirus lab and that it could a contamination from there.


4 posted on 03/18/2020 2:16:34 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: Red Badger

China Protection


5 posted on 03/18/2020 2:16:36 PM PDT by Revel
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To: Red Badger
"scientists say" Quit reading right there but here's your sign.


PUSH HARDER!! Wham-Bam Wuhan Scam!



6 posted on 03/18/2020 2:16:37 PM PDT by SanchoP (DC is the deep state.)
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To: Red Badger

Everyone on FR who is a trained virologist and molecular biologist, please feel free to comment on this article.

The rest of us paranoid know-nothings should possible remain silent.


7 posted on 03/18/2020 2:16:42 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: Buckeye McFrog
that’s our story that avoids WW III and we’re sticking to it

Scum of the Earth.

8 posted on 03/18/2020 2:17:03 PM PDT by niteowl77
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To: Red Badger

LIES!!!

https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/lab-made-coronavirus-triggers-debate-34502


9 posted on 03/18/2020 2:17:25 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Buckeye McFrog

10 posted on 03/18/2020 2:17:34 PM PDT by Bratch (“If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

exactly.

this is the most dangerous question in the world now, from a geopolitical viewpoint.


11 posted on 03/18/2020 2:17:51 PM PDT by WoofDog123
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To: ifinnegan

True, a ‘natural’ virus that was transmitted to a human host by negligent hygiene and poor cultural eating habits...............................


12 posted on 03/18/2020 2:18:02 PM PDT by Red Badger (If people were to God like dogs are to people, the world would be a really great place..............)
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To: Red Badger

Deep state / Soros are incredibly happy with the situation.


13 posted on 03/18/2020 2:18:07 PM PDT by rigelkentaurus
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To: ifinnegan

correct. even though I lean towards something being tinkered with. apparently the ideas behind the spike on this virus have been studied before.


14 posted on 03/18/2020 2:19:04 PM PDT by WoofDog123
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To: Red Badger

“The COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic has a natural origin”

Naturally when a bunch of commies in a bio-weapon lab cooks something up it will be the origin of where it started.


15 posted on 03/18/2020 2:20:23 PM PDT by Beagle8U (Slo-Joe Biden... puts the Dem in Dementia.)
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To: Enlightened1

“scientists” say a lot of things. For instance scientists say
my car is making the North Pole melt.


16 posted on 03/18/2020 2:21:31 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: SanchoP
Every time I see Soros' face, I think "Dear God, Is it time for a reboot?"

I don't particularly want to die at the moment, but I fear what kind of world we'll be left with once COVID-19 is dealt with. More government control and socialism. Devalued currency and increased national debt. No punishment for China, WHO, the one-worlders.

17 posted on 03/18/2020 2:23:34 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Red Badger

> “The analysis of public genome sequence data from SARS-CoV-2 and related viruses found no evidence that the virus was made in a laboratory or otherwise engineered.”

Scripps? Unbelievable their ‘staff’ would put this out.

There is NO DOUBT this coronavirus was engineered as a bioweapon:

From 2015:
A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergence
https://www.nature.com/articles/nm.3985
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3824241/posts


18 posted on 03/18/2020 2:24:05 PM PDT by Hostage (Article V)
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To: Red Badger

I’ve heard 180 degrees opposite from other trusted sources.


19 posted on 03/18/2020 2:24:15 PM PDT by The Duke (President Trump = America's Last, Best Chance)
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To: Red Badger

Color me skeptical


20 posted on 03/18/2020 2:24:53 PM PDT by RatRipper
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