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VANITY - A drop in new US Covid-19 cases coming soon? Check my math
self | 03/18/20 | self

Posted on 03/18/2020 8:26:33 PM PDT by Teacher317

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Don't take my word for it, look at the bar graphs for all 7 countries yourself. I used the ones found on https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-korea/

Call me overly hopeful, berate me for giving false hope, but that's what I see in the data... 2 weeks of acceleration, several days of plateau, and then a decline. Prayers up that I'm close!!

(Also, if you can figure out how to post the bar graphs from that webpage, I'd be grateful... the usual IMG SRC isn't working for me, and I'd appreciate the visual backup to my data!!)

1 posted on 03/18/2020 8:26:33 PM PDT by Teacher317
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To: Teacher317

I hope you have flame-proof clothing on - because you’re about to get torched by a certain segment of Freepers. Hang on tight!


2 posted on 03/18/2020 8:29:04 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Teacher317

The rate of growth that you are seeing in the US are not indication of growth. You are seeing numbers limited by tests. No test..no cases.

In two weeks or so, you will see a real growth rate. Once our testing is in the hundreds of thousands... not the thousands.

Not saying you are right or wrong.

But I think you might be a bit optimistic. Who knows? Not me.


3 posted on 03/18/2020 8:30:42 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Teacher317

Shhhhhhh. Hold off on the reality until my check gets here.


4 posted on 03/18/2020 8:30:51 PM PDT by moehoward
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To: Teacher317

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Washington State shows no new cases today. That really made me feel optimistic.


5 posted on 03/18/2020 8:31:58 PM PDT by tiki
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To: MplsSteve
Of course, but flames don't bother me much anymore. I'm almost at my 20th anniversary here! :)

Again, I'm just trying to share potentially good news, and give some hope out there, because the MSM surely doesn't seem to share very much of it. Some folks are talking about August and beyond for any signs of a light at the end of the tunnel... but maybe it isn't so far away... and simple bell curves from several countries already seem to agree. Our mileage may vary, but I think America is Great, and our bell curve could match that of South Korea and others.

6 posted on 03/18/2020 8:33:14 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Teacher317

Well we’re up 2500 cases and 35 deaths today. Appears we are just beginning the vertical climb,

By the way son’s friend works at CDC, says expect interstates to be closed soon.


7 posted on 03/18/2020 8:33:53 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: Vermont Lt
You are seeing numbers limited by tests. No test..no cases.

Certainly possible, as I acknowledged... but once the tests are available and done, the bell curve of ACTUAL (not confirmed) cases should follow that of the others. Or so I hope. I shudder to think that Iran and Spain are going to handle this better than we can.

8 posted on 03/18/2020 8:35:29 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Teacher317

Almost 500 Italians died TODAY. One day. I hope you’re right, but I’m not seeing it. I’ve said the same about this whole thing for the past 2 months: I hope I am able to say “I overreacted” instead of “I told you so.”


9 posted on 03/18/2020 8:36:15 PM PDT by ALASKA (Watching an attempted coup by a thousand cuts....)
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To: Teacher317

Nope. We are just starting the climb.


10 posted on 03/18/2020 8:36:22 PM PDT by madison10
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To: Teacher317

VP Pence and Dr. Birx had a lot to say about this at today’s briefing. Potentially great news.


11 posted on 03/18/2020 8:36:27 PM PDT by upchuck (Democrats are always the problem, never the answer.)
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To: Teacher317

Hold on to your hat.


12 posted on 03/18/2020 8:37:01 PM PDT by isthisnickcool (1218 - NEVER FORGET!)
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To: Teacher317
🤞 hope your right
13 posted on 03/18/2020 8:37:31 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19 (Game over, man! Game over! ; : rem ad triarios redisse is)
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To: Teacher317

We’ll see.

But as the other guy said...can we wait till we get our checks?


14 posted on 03/18/2020 8:38:30 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Teacher317
"look at the bar graphs for all 7 countries yourself."

Link?

15 posted on 03/18/2020 8:38:40 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: QuigleyDU

By the way son’s friend works at CDC, says expect interstates to be closed soon.

That is an absurd rumor. Back it up.


16 posted on 03/18/2020 8:38:56 PM PDT by Flick Lives (MSM, the Enemy of the People since 1898)
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To: Teacher317

It hasn’t even started yet.


17 posted on 03/18/2020 8:40:31 PM PDT by kaehurowing
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To: tiki

Where is Wyo.?

They seem to have a buncha new cases in Casper.


18 posted on 03/18/2020 8:40:42 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: QuigleyDU

“says expect interstates to be closed soon”

Oh ya? Wait till they pull that crap and see what happens.

Today they claimed that the state is considering closing all places that serve perishable foods-that includes truck stops.

Where the hell they think these truckers are gonna go to get showers and use the toilet..not to mention get food?

You will see more **** spread along the major highways than in San Fran.
How would they like that?


19 posted on 03/18/2020 8:40:47 PM PDT by crz
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To: QuigleyDU

Either your friend is full of crap, or CDC is losing their minds.

If the highways are closed, how is food going to get moved? How is supplies going to be delivered to hospitals.


20 posted on 03/18/2020 8:41:14 PM PDT by david1292
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