Almost 500 Italians died TODAY. One day. I hope you’re right, but I’m not seeing it. I’ve said the same about this whole thing for the past 2 months: I hope I am able to say “I overreacted” instead of “I told you so.”
All of my prognostications come from just the New Cases Reported (by day), the gray bar graphs.
Italy certainly has an older population (25% over 65, second only to Japan's 27%), so the higher mortality rate is not surprising... but again, I'm just looking at New Cases Reported.