The key statistics will soon become available hospital beds, available respirators, and number of HCW infections. That should be compared to the number of infected, and the percentage of the infected that require hospitalization.
Once availability of treatment options becomes limited, you can expect the death rate to increase.
Right now, this information is not being made public
What is so hard to understand about this?
Exactly. That's what's happening in Italy now. They don't have enough ventilators, masks, beds, or medical staff.
Promises, promises.
This death rate projection is from March 9, 13 days ago.
Chart courtesy Travis McGee
CDC Estimates of 2009 H1N1 Influenza Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths in the United States
During the pandemic, CDC provided estimates of the numbers of 2009 H1N1 cases, hospitalizations and deaths on seven different occasions. Final estimates were published in 2011. These final estimates were that from April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010 approximately 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 hospitalizations (195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (8868-18,306) occurred in the United States due to pH1N1. These final estimates are available at: Estimating the burden of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in the United States (April 2009-April 2010)External Web Site Icon, Shrestha SS, et al., Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jan 1;52 Suppl 1:S75-82.
But no national shutdown, no crashed beyond limits hospital system.