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Official IHME Projection Updated. Now Equals Last years Flu!
Covid 19 Projections ^ | 04/06/20

Posted on 04/06/2020 8:35:09 AM PDT by Enlightened1

Scroll down and read it yourself.

You will see 80k deaths. Same as last years flu.

 

https://covid19.healthdata.org/

(Excerpt) Read more at covid19.healthdata.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: flu; ihme; numbers; projeciton
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Did you know in 2018 over 80k people died in the U.S from the the flu?

 

Did we shut down the U.S. Economy from it?

https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/cdc-us-flu-deaths-winter/

 

The same freaking out media barely reported it.

1 posted on 04/06/2020 8:35:09 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Enlightened1
Did you know the World Health Organization says 5 to 6 million people a year world wide get the seasonal flu?

 

Furthermore, between 250k to 650k actually die from it every year.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/02/01/coronavirus-flu-deadlier-more-widespread-than-wuhan-china-virus/4632508002/

Did we shut down the world economy from it?

2 posted on 04/06/2020 8:36:36 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Enlightened1

Amazing difference from April 1 to April 5.
Beds needed projection went down by 120K;

April 1 https://web.archive.org/web/20200405130753/https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

April 5
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

This is going to spin down fast.


3 posted on 04/06/2020 8:41:14 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: Enlightened1

We will ONLY see 80K deaths IF WE continue to employ measures - else this will again be out of control ... just sayin


4 posted on 04/06/2020 8:41:23 AM PDT by 11th_VA (May you live in interesting times - Ancient Chinese Proverb)
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To: dynoman

If we had REAL journalists in this country Dr. Birx would suffer a meltdown under withering cross-examination later today.

Instead they’ll just toss more gotchas at Trump.


5 posted on 04/06/2020 8:44:42 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Enlightened1

bttt


6 posted on 04/06/2020 8:44:55 AM PDT by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'm going ahead.)
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To: Enlightened1

To be fair, mitigation is part of why the number came down. But I’m sure there was a Big Government Exaggerating component, too.


7 posted on 04/06/2020 8:45:22 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Enlightened1

A few weeks ago President Trump expressed the hope that we could be getting back to normal by April 12 (Easter). Then that faded and I don’t think anyone expects that any more.

But if the numbers are really coming out as indicated, and if the zinc-based regimen is actually effective, then we really should be getting back to normal sooner rather than later.


8 posted on 04/06/2020 8:45:45 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: Enlightened1
Projection

(D)ommunist MO

9 posted on 04/06/2020 8:45:47 AM PDT by tomkat
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To: Enlightened1

Apples, I’d like you to meet Oranges; Oranges, Apples.

In last year’s flu, did the whole country go on paralysis to lessen its effects?

The comparison is no comparison.


10 posted on 04/06/2020 8:46:00 AM PDT by Migraine
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To: Enlightened1

I have to say— I understand the skepticism, but in the last 48 hours 3 people I am directly connected to have perished. One is fighting to stay of a respirator. It is not the total death rate that is the issue, it is the concentration of mulitple deaths all at once that is traumatic.


11 posted on 04/06/2020 8:46:03 AM PDT by sonrise57 (God have mercy on us, protect our President and grace him with humility, wisdom and reciliance.)
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To: Enlightened1

The theory for the alarm was (1) we have a “vaccine” for the seasonal flu, (2) Covid-19 deaths would be “overwhelming” because they would be IN ADDITION to the flu deaths, instead (as is now likely) just INSTEAD OF flu deaths, (3) the contagious/infectious ability of Covid-19 was unknown, and (4) they have tests for the known viruses they call the “seaonal flu” viruses, but no tests at the start for the Covid-19 bug.

I think public policy was in a damned if they do, damned if they don’t position; going to be damned if they over reacted and the deaths were less than they expected; damned if they under appreciated the severity of the infectious abilities of the new bug and deaths greatly exceeded expectations.


12 posted on 04/06/2020 8:47:46 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Both sides now:

Birx & Fauci went with worst case....which probably scared DjT.

Stay at home, etc. has probably helped.

But it was mercilessly overhyped to get Trump.

As I see it


13 posted on 04/06/2020 8:48:45 AM PDT by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'm going ahead.)
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To: dynoman

They must of suddenly realized there is no way to sell the mass carnage as the evidence weighs against them.

Just like when their lies about the dossier and impeachment ran out of anything resembling evidence ..because there wasn’t any in the first place!

Web+lies=tangled web.


14 posted on 04/06/2020 8:49:01 AM PDT by Leep (It's another day in stir.)
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To: Enlightened1

New projections hurt FEARbros, pansies, and scaremongers the worst.


15 posted on 04/06/2020 8:53:07 AM PDT by Calif Conservative (A)
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To: ClearCase_guy

“They” will do anything to not let that happen.
They can not let Trump have Easter.
They need a big stall or distraction...House bill? Accusations that the meds killed someone?
Remember we are talking about the left here.


16 posted on 04/06/2020 8:53:33 AM PDT by Leep (It's another day in stir.)
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To: Wuli

The problem was we never got any of that uncertainty or honesty in the early days.

The projection was, “500,000 WILL die in the UK etc. etc.”

We never heard any qualifiers like “well it’s still in the early stages, so we don’t have complete data yet, so these numbers could go either way ...”

None of that. Just the worst-case scenarios all the time, scaring people unnecessarily. Countries on lockdown. And NOW we find out the abuse with statistics that took place, and the damage because of it

Will any of the idiotic modellers be held accountable? Or any scare-mongering Media?


17 posted on 04/06/2020 8:55:25 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: chiller

You see it right, but now Trump can congratulate the American People, get the economy rolling again in May, get the Dow back to 25K by Nov, have the NFL kick off on time which means no need for stupid election rule changes.

Dems will pivot away from Trump was slow to act to racial disparatey of the sick and died which means we have an unequal heath care system and therefore we need total Govt control Obamacare 2.0, and since Trumps is against socialized medicine he still is a racist


18 posted on 04/06/2020 8:56:56 AM PDT by Jimmy The Snake (Remeber)
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To: Leep

Also California, which Gov. Newsom has successfully locked down, suddenly says it can donate 500 ventilators to other states that have a greater need.

And yet, and yet, and yet — wasn’t California supposed to be like something out of The Walking Dead in terms of being hard hit and suffering a complete epidemic?

If it’s that bad in California — why are they giving 500 ventilators away to the national stockpile?


19 posted on 04/06/2020 8:57:15 AM PDT by Calif Conservative (Ronald Reagan fan forever)
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To: Enlightened1

That was the 2017-2018 flu season, and if you think the media barely reported it, you either weren’t paying attention or have a very bad memory.

I got my first flu shot ever in January 2018. I had never even considered getting one before that year.


20 posted on 04/06/2020 9:00:47 AM PDT by FreedomForce
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