Posted on 04/08/2020 12:11:44 PM PDT by Kaslin
RUSH: We have more model movement today, ladies and gentlemen. Projected coronavirus deaths in the United States were lowered by 25% from 81,766 to 60,415 early Wednesday morning. This is the Washington state model, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Chris Murray model, IHME. This has been the lead model from the get-go.
This model is why weve done what weve done, plus the model from the U.K., the Neil Ferguson model. I forget the name of it off the top of my head. Thats the model that predicted 2.2 million if we didnt do anything, and then they revised it. It was 2.2 million U.S., 500,000 U.K. if we didnt do anything, then they factored social distancing in the model, and the numbers went down to 200,000 from 2.2 million.
So that model has been used as well. But now projections for coronavirus deaths in the U.S. by 25% from 81,766 to 60,415 early Wednesday morning. Wednesdays dramatic reverse in the models projection of U.S. deaths was made without a press release from IHME explaining the reasons for the reduction. So they just lowered the prediction, projection; they didnt tell anybody why.
It marks the second reduction in the models U.S. deaths projections since April 1, when it forecast 93,765 U.S. fatalities. Its now down to 60,000. What happened to 240,000? What happened to 100,000 to 200,000? What happened to 240,000? Now this model is predicting down to 60,415 again, a 25% reduction in the models released just this morning.
BREAK TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: Now, folks, I want you to listen here to me because this is very important. Im gonna run through this. Ive got limited time. Ill do it again after the break at the bottom of the hour. Im gonna start with the original projection from both the Imperial College and the IHME: 2.2 million people dead, if we dont do anything. That was their projection. They put the number out there.
Its a number we can use because they put it out there, and that was the starting point for all of this thats befallen us since. This morning they revised their number of projected deaths to 60,000. That is a reduction of 90% from the 2.2 million number. But what else? Does the number 60,000 60,000 deaths does that resonate with any of you? Does the number 60,000 mean anything to you?
Well, let me tell you what it is: 60,000 is the number of deaths due to the flu every year in this country. Its between 30,000 and 60,000. So the very projections from the modelers who have given us our current circumstances, including the lockdown have now reduced their original projection of 2.2 million down to 60,000. Thats a reduction of 90%. Do you realize how worthless a model is you can input different data and get that wide a variance?
But this is what the governments using. Its a 90% reduction from the original 2.2 million. Its their number. President Trump used it. Birx, Fauci, they all used it for a while, on purpose. It was to get everybody going on social distancing and mitigation. Now the latest projection today is 60,000 deaths, equal to the number of flu deaths. Hmm!
BREAK TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: In fact, ladies and gentlemen, that 60,000 flu death number was 80,000 in 2018. Its a 2018 article: 80,000 people died Its the 2017-2018 winter season; 80,000 people died from the flu. Now, before you all start getting on your high horse, I understand the difference in the flu and this thing. I understand that weve got vaccines for various strains of the flu and weve all, as a society, become accepting.
We accept whatever it is, 30,000, 60,000, 80,000 deaths from the flu every year. We expect it, and its just like the number of people we accept dying in automobile accidents. I understand that these projections on the coronavirus are based on everybody quarantining essentially, social distancing and all that because we dont have treatment and we dont have a vaccine and we dont have widespread testing.
So I understand the difference. Im just trying to make the point here that we start out with a number of 2.2 million to scare the hell out of everybody, and its used and its used by the experts, the officials. They put it out there, and its from a model, Imperial College, if we do nothing. The corresponding number in the U.K. was 500,000 deaths if we do nothing. My point is that all along, the number was irrelevant.
We should have never used it because we never were gonna do nothing. We immediately instituted the lockdown, social distancing or whatever mitigation, as the experts likes to say and so thats what the numbers began to become 100,000, 200,000, 240,000. So even if you throw out the 2.2 million and stick with anywhere from 100,000 to 240,000, now theyre down to 60,000, theyre gonna claim
Remember, these are the doomsayers. They never lose. They are never wrong. They can always claim that what they doom-said is the reason weve had success. Its the nature of doomsayers. So they are now saying that the projected number of deaths as of this morning is down to 60,000. Now, 60,000 people die from the flu every year, 30 to 60; sometimes worse.
It was worse with the swine flu much worse because there isnt any mitigation. People just go ahead and live their lives. If they get it, they get it. If they do, they do and if they dont, they dont. Some of them get it and perish and some dont. We have not wanted to deal with coronavirus that way because theres no treatment for it well, other than hydroxychloroquine, which the left is still attempting to ban and banish and ridicule and impugn.
But there is no official test. Theyre coming. There is certainly no vaccine. But I just find it fascinating that were now down to 60,000 deaths (with mitigation, I understand this), the same number of deaths, according to the flu.
BREAK TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: Now in a story related to something I mentioned in the first half hour, and that is that many deaths that have nothing to do with and were not caused by COVID-19 are being chalked up to COVID-19.
Dr. Birx said it. Its a key word here. If someone dies with COVID-19, we are counting it as a COVID-19 death. With COVID-19 does not mean the same thing as because of. If you have coronary heart failure, if you have a heart attack, if you have renal failure, kidney failure, and you also have if they find that youve got COVID-19, to heck with your heart disease, to heck with your kidney disease, theyre chalking it up as a COVID-19 death.
So it may well be that the number of COVID-19 deaths isnt as high as were being told. But its obvious there are people who want it to be reported as high because they think thatll help them with their mitigation efforts, keeping people sequestered and socially distanced and all of that.
From the Daily Wire: New York City Data: Vast Majority Who Have Died from Coronavirus Had Serious Underlying Conditions. Now, again, I dont want to be misunderstood. This in no way minimizes the suffering of these people who have succumbed to this, but it does confirm that the most vulnerable among us are those with compromised health before they acquire the virus. Heres a pull quote:
According to the most recent data from the [CDC], almost two-thirds (65.6%) of the people who have died after testing positive for coronavirus have been confirmed to have one of those specified underlying conditions, diabetes, heart disease, obesity, kidney problems, liver problems, while just 1.9% of the people who died after testing positive were confirmed to have no underlying conditions.'
Only 1.9% of the people that died in New York City were confirmed to have no underlying conditions. Thats huge! So people that have these underlying conditions obviously need to stay home. But were getting to the point, I would think, where we could begin to think about turning the rest of us loose people that dont have any underlying health conditions.
The data shows that 1,623 of the 2,475 who have died after testing positive in the city had a serious preexisting condition
Buy a lot of people are revealing themselves to be chumps in this China flu season.
Birx always has on a scarf.
Keeps the corona virus off her neck I suppose.
Yep, they saved us! 2.2M would have died, but now, with the painless steps of stripping our liberty and crashing our economy, only 60k will die.
We should build statues of these heroes.
I guess if they had given a lower estimate in the first place, more people would have middle-fingered the lockdowns. Unfortunately, a precedent has been set whereby our country can be crippled by countries, world organizations, and so-called medical experts who are out of our control.
Wow. From 2.2 million to 60,000. Now that’s a bit of subtraction.
Yeah and 59,000 of them are going to be African Americans. /Sarc
“Birx always has on a scarf.
Keeps the corona virus off her neck I suppose.”
many women of a certain age wear a scarf when they are dressed up to hide the dreaded “turkey neck.”
Her neck is worked big time id rather see scarfs than a chamois
sounds like the people who swore the Ghostbusters reboot would be a smash hit
great thing is all of their hysteria and exaggeration is out there for the world to see.
And the WHO have made clear their allegiance to Chinese propagandists
Perhaps is that new math Common Core
Can we go back to work now?
Sounds like average flu season models.
Just a bit...outside.
what a scam
200,000 dead even if we did everything perfectly! Now we are down to 60,000? End this nonsense NOW.
Actually it dropped from 250,000 to 60,000 and that is very significant.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.