20 million probably is “a tad” high.
But who doesn’t think we had satellites looking down at the crematorium in Wuhan counting the vans showing up. Or agents on the ground all over the country.
Someone knows. They simply are not talking. Soon, once travel is allowed, little micro disks with images and journals will start coming out of the country.
This. Crematoriums don't 'idle', they run when there are bodies to burn. If you could identify existing crematoriums and add in the portable ones China dispersed, measure of time, even account for multiple bodies transited, intelligence could get within 20,000-30,000.
My guess is Wuhan+Hubei 150,000, rest of China 100,000. A nothingburger to the PLA but history will soon label it another modern genocide in CCP's tedious list of outlaw behavior. May God Almighty damn Mao's eternal soul.