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Kissinger's folly: The threat to world order is China
The Hill ^ | 04/19/20 04:00 PM EDT | BRADLEY A. THAYER AND LIANCHAO HAN

Posted on 04/19/2020 10:10:06 PM PDT by robowombat

Kissinger's folly: The threat to world order is China BY BRADLEY A. THAYER AND LIANCHAO HAN, 04/19/20 04:00 PM EDT

Kissinger's folly: The threat to world order is China

The old joke that doctors bury their mistakes should be amended, because former statesmen sometimes try to do so as well. Claims advanced by Henry Kissinger, the doyen of the U.S. foreign policy community, that the coronavirus is a danger to the liberal international order are correct, especially since the virus has killed tens of thousands around the world.

But the specter that is haunting the world order is not the virus that originated in Wuhan. It is the rise of dictatorial China. And it was Kissinger, the former U.S. secretary of State and national security adviser, who contributed mightily to this threat as one of the major creators and advocates of the decades-long U.S. strategy towards China emphasizing cooperation, “bringing China in” to the international order, and fostering its growth so that it could become a “responsible stakeholder.”

The expectation was that China would cooperate with the West to preserve the present liberal order of global politics. This approach was a profound mistake: In a historically unprecedented act, the West actively contributed to the creation of its most formidable peer competitor. China hid behind a false promise to abide by Western rules and norms to forestall balancing against it, while it rapidly developed economically and militarily — and was creating a new international order to replace the one that is so rightly valued in the West.

Long before COVID-19, China labored to replace the world order while working inside to achieve it. Despite claims to the contrary, China is not a status quo great power. It is a revolutionary great power that seeks fundamental and permanent changes to the contemporary order in international politics. If it achieves its objectives, it will be the death of the existing liberal order. That indeed will be a new epoch in global politics.

Put directly: The school of thought advanced by Kissinger made this possible. Since the 1990s, political and economic interest in the West actively worked with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to support its growth. If the liberal order is to be saved, it will be by confronting and defeating China’s challenge. Until recently, the confrontation largely has been one-sided. China acted vigorously to undermine the position of the West, while the West’s response was mostly absent, inchoate or actually pernicious to itself.

The West did not respond to the challenge for three reasons. First, the economic interest of Western business communities. China’s rise was aided by its ability to influence Western firms in China, trading access to the People’s Republic of China’s enormous market in return for the firms’ technology and processes. At the same time, China employed the firms’ influence with their domestic governments to ensure support for China — and thus China was on the path to becoming an economic power.

Second, what the Chinese government could not willingly receive from economic cooperation they might steal through the development and employment of advanced cyber capabilities.

Third, the rise of China was met by a historically unique case of threat deflation in the West. This was because of China’s deception through its projected image as a benign power and responsible great power that fully embraced the liberal international order. The West, and the U.S. particularly, consistently and gravely underestimated the implications of China’s rise — including how it will change international politics and its ability to hold at risk longstanding U.S. interests. U.S. policymakers and strategists should expect that Clio, that muse of history, will be harsh in her verdict: The willful ignorance of the China threat was the greatest U.S. strategic blunder certainly since the Cold War, and likely the most significant in U.S. history. Countless academics, think thank denizens, Silicon Valley and Wall Street gurus, and policymakers contributed to this. Yet curiously, Kissinger, who was famous early in his career as an advocate of realpolitik and the balance of power, missed it too.

The global community must expect that China’s world order would be fundamentally different in every respect. China would use economic institutions such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and Belt and Road Initiative, its influence in the developing world, and its growing military influence in key regions to establish a new model of global governance that would be defined by firm hierarchical relationships between states, with China on top of that hierarchy.

The world has witnessed how China’s order has radically altered the global community’s conception of human rights. The rebirth of concentration camps for China’s Muslim minority compels the recognition that few people — China experts, business people, foreign policy experts, strategists or politicians — have recognized the CCP for what it is: a dangerous, supremacist superpower. It is intent upon replacing the United States as the world’s dominant state. If China succeeds in doing so, the values and political principles of today’s international order will be lost.

The ideological struggle is not over, but has experienced a renaissance. Unfortunately, the liberal international order was not well defended by strategists and policymakers. Any new epoch or shared future that does not include China’s defeat will be one in which the rest of the world adapts to serve the interests of Beijing. This scenario would be defined by illiberal political principles: It will be less free, less diverse, and far more hierarchical and oppressive than the present one.

Perhaps a positive outcome of the coronavirus pandemic is that it has opened Western eyes to these dangers — and it is not too late for the West act. If the liberal world order is to be preserved and protected, it is incumbent upon the United States to defend the international order against China’s ambitions. An element of this defense must include calling to account those in the West who caused us to be in our current situation, especially those who proclaimed themselves to be “strategists” who advanced and supported China’s ambitions.

Bradley A. Thayer is professor of political science at the University of Texas-San Antonio and the co-author of “How China Sees the World: Han-Centrism and the Balance of Power in International Politics.”

Lianchao Han is vice president of Citizen Power Initiatives for China. After the Tiananmen Square Massacre in 1989, he was one of the founders of the Independent Federation of Chinese Students and Scholars. He worked in the U.S. Senate for 12 years, as legislative counsel and policy director for three senators.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ccp; china; henrykissinger; rubbish; taiwan; thehill; thehillary; theshill
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1 posted on 04/19/2020 10:10:06 PM PDT by robowombat
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To: robowombat

The Chinese Fascists are our existential enemy and someday we’ll have a really big war with them.

Maybe someday soon.


2 posted on 04/19/2020 10:17:35 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner

I agree.


3 posted on 04/19/2020 10:18:59 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: laplata

So do I.

I wish it were not the case. I lived there a long time ago for a while, and even speak some of the language.

But I agree with you.

America (badly) needs, to cease doing business with China.

Now.


4 posted on 04/19/2020 10:28:02 PM PDT by cba123 ( Toi la nguoi My. Toi bay gio o Viet Nam.)
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To: Mariner

Only Nixon can go to China.
And, only Clinton can authorize the sale of US Missile Tech to allow the Communists the ability to threaten the planet.
Prior to Clinton, the Chinese could only launch Bottle Rockets. Anything much larger ALL failed miserably. For years and years. It was a running joke.
Then Clinton remedied that by authorizing the US transfer of Tech Knowledge to help the Communist Chinese with their rocket issues.


5 posted on 04/19/2020 10:31:40 PM PDT by ocrp1982
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To: Mariner

The US will hopefully adhere to the adage that there are two countries one never should invade; Russia and China.


6 posted on 04/19/2020 10:32:31 PM PDT by robowombat (Orthodox)
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To: robowombat

I honestly don’t think Kissinger was responsible for the
early 1990s decision to gift China with global trade just
a couple of years after their brutal regime slaughtered
thousand in Tiananmen Square.

Did he set it up with Bill Clinton and Loral in mind, to
gift China with our Gyro Technology and MIRV technology?

Did he set it up to have 99.999999999% of our manufacturing
to go there? I don’t think so.

Opening up China so I wouldn’t be as divorced from the
world wasn’t a bad idea at a time when Russian was both
our enemies, and China had developed nuclear weapons.

The U. S. sought to become closer to China, but I’m not
convinced anything we saw of the last nearly 30 year was
what Kissinger had in mind.

What person with at least a 25% functioning human brain
could not see the dangers of jumping China forward at
least five decades with technology and trillions in trade?

Sorry folks, but after the last nearly 30 years of
incredibly stupid actions, it’s absurd to blame all of them
on Henry Kissinger.

GHW Bush, Bill Clinton, GW Bush, Barack Obama...

Now your getting warm.

I once said that every corporate entity that went to China
was a traitorous move against our nation.

Our idiots, made agreements with China to gift them all
the technology used in China.

We practically gift them our entire patent database, and
I recall one of our U. S. Senators suggesting it in public.

Yeah, I suppose Henry Kissinger was responsible for that
too.

Why not toss in the Wuhan Flu. Kissing was once in China!

Well, why not? Makes as much sense as another article
saying he was the problem.

It has been 48 years since Kissing went to China.

Gosh, it’s really a shame none of our leaders since could
stop him from his dastardly contrivances? LOL

People really get desperate for whipping boys...

Where are the pricks who rammed this nonsense down our
throats now?

I knew they’d scatter like mice.


7 posted on 04/19/2020 10:33:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: Mariner

My late father said the same thing in the 70’s. China was the real threat.


8 posted on 04/19/2020 10:33:46 PM PDT by Jaded (Pope Francis? Not really a fan... miss the last guy who recognized how Islam spread... the sword.)
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To: robowombat

The demise of this so-called “liberal’ international order is rooted in Europe’s rejection of the Pax Americana.

The Europeans, along with their Third World toadies, did all they could to undermine the global peace and prosperity which was set to develop through the leadership of the United States of America after the fall of the Soviet Empire.

Unfortunately there were, and still are, many Americans (including far too many in positions of power) who share the European loathing of Liberty, and the globalist’s hatred of the United States.

So an end to the current “liberal” (what an odd term to describe the budding One World fascism) international order is not to be mourned. Not one tear shed.


9 posted on 04/19/2020 10:34:11 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Mariner

In the early 90s, I predicted many of our youth would die
because of the policies the leaders of that time were
implementing with China.

Where are those brain trusts now?


10 posted on 04/19/2020 10:35:17 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: robowombat

So now the msm is going to blame Nixon?


11 posted on 04/19/2020 10:37:40 PM PDT by JoSixChip (WuHoo flu is going to get you!)
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To: robowombat

We’ll never invade China. That would be suicide, and besides, we don’t have the capability.


12 posted on 04/19/2020 10:41:01 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: DoughtyOne; All
How did China move from very crude surface launched IRBM subs (about 1955 USN technology) to SLBM’s roughly comparable to those of the Us within a few years in the 1990’s.Scarcely a word of this treason is ever spoken.
13 posted on 04/19/2020 10:41:21 PM PDT by robowombat (Orthodox)
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To: robowombat; Impy; BillyBoy; LS; NFHale; GOPsterinMA; campaignPete R-CT; AuH2ORepublican; ...

The real crimes during the Clintoon Regime was just how much they sold and/or allowed to be stolen on their watch to the ChiComs. That’s why they wanted the Lewinsky investigation instead of ChinaGate. Sex stuff they could beat in the court of public opinion (at least in the ‘90s). Treason, not so much.


14 posted on 04/19/2020 10:44:13 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Dear Mr. Kotter, #Epsteindidntkillhimself - Signed, Epstein's Mother)
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To: Mariner

The Chinese Fascists are our existential enemy and someday we’ll have a really big war with them.

Maybe someday soon.>> maybe some time later. but let’s get started, we need to repatriate our production resources first. This will take a while. A lot.. a very large lot of stuff around the world is controlled by china.


15 posted on 04/19/2020 10:53:47 PM PDT by kvanbrunt2 (spooks won on day 76)
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To: robowombat

Yep. Our corporations wanted China to launch their satellites. China’s launch systems weren’t reliable.

They were rattling to death on launch. We gave them the
technology to hit U. S. targets withing 50 feet.

I forget now if we gave them GPS tech too.


16 posted on 04/19/2020 10:58:58 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: robowombat
The willful ignorance of the China threat was the greatest U.S. strategic blunder certainly since the Cold War, and likely the most significant in U.S. history. Countless academics, think thank denizens, Silicon Valley and Wall Street gurus, and policymakers contributed to this. Yet curiously, Kissinger, who was famous early in his career as an advocate of realpolitik and the balance of power, missed it too.

Kissinger: Yet another fool from Harvard.

The fools from Harvard have been a danger to this country for decades.

17 posted on 04/19/2020 11:00:05 PM PDT by bkopto
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To: robowombat; null and void; aragorn; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; ..
.

Check out article.

18 posted on 04/19/2020 11:00:59 PM PDT by LucyT
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To: robowombat

Hate to be defending Kissinger but...

He naturally thought China would do what was best for China.

Turned out PR mattered more.


19 posted on 04/19/2020 11:13:30 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: kvanbrunt2

I completely agree.

Bring businesses back to America.

Right now. With tariffs. Big ones.

Bring back American production.

Even if it means wiping out, entire sections of former US industry which was sent to China.

They moved, themselves.

Screw ‘em.

(Sorry, but I am not at all sorry)


20 posted on 04/20/2020 12:10:59 AM PDT by cba123 ( Toi la nguoi My. Toi bay gio o Viet Nam.)
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