Niel Ferguson actually has a HISTORY of sky high death estimates.
His projections led to millions of British livestock killed due to hoof and mouth disease projections. And it turned out inspectors were spreading it through unsterilized shoes.
He predicted up to fifty thousand dead from mad cow disease.
Source: https://www.theguardian.com/education/2002/jan/09/research.highereducation
He predicted up to 200 million dead from bird flu. Note that’s worse than the Wuhan virus and they still didn’t lock everything down.
Source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2005/sep/30/birdflu.jamessturcke
That is an excellent point. Why is this guy's prediction for Wuhan Flu, even when it was 100,000-150,000 deaths, causing a "lockdown", when his past prediction of 200 MILLION deaths did not?
Oh, wait, I know why... Orange Man Bad.