The CDC report is the COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios. Importantly, this is NOT an analysis of the actual spread of the disease.
The parameters in the scenarios:
--Are estimates intended to support public health preparedness and planning.
--Are not predictions of the expected effects of COVID-19.
--Do not reflect the impact of any behavioral changes, social distancing, or other interventions.
I am actually dumbfounded as to why people love so much the narrative that Covid-19 is widespread and that there are millions of asymptomatic carriers. This is actually far worse than the actual situation, and betrays a complete lack of understanding about infectious disease.
For people complaining about the lock downs and having to wear masks, stay 6 feet away from everyone else, etc., understand that one of the reasons for this is the fact that Covid-19 does spread before infected people show symptoms. If asymptomatic spread were not a thing, the restrictions would not have to be so stringent.
Horowitz: The CDC confirms remarkably low coronavirus death rate. Where is the media?
conservative review ^ | · May 22, 2020 | Daniel Horowitz
Posted on 5/22/2020, 11:09:32 PM by conservative98
Most people are more likely to wind up six feet under because of almost anything else under the sun other than COVID-19.
The CDC just came out with a report that should be earth-shattering to the narrative of the political class, yet it will go into the thick pile of vital data and information about the virus that is not getting out to the public. For the first time, the CDC has attempted to offer a real estimate of the overall death rate for COVID-19, and under its most likely scenario, the number is 0.26%. Officials estimate a 0.4% fatality rate among those who are symptomatic and project a 35% rate of asymptomatic cases among those infected, which drops the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) to just 0.26% — almost exactly where Stanford researchers pegged it a month ago.
Until now, we have been ridiculed for thinking the death rate was that low, as opposed to the 3.4% estimate of the World Health Organization, which helped drive the panic and the lockdowns. Now the CDC is agreeing to the lower rate in plain ink.
Plus, ultimately we might find out that the IFR is even lower because numerous studies and hard counts of confined populations have shown a much higher percentage of asymptomatic cases. Simply adjusting for a 50% asymptomatic rate would drop their fatality rate to 0.2% – exactly the rate of fatality Dr. John Ionnidis of Stanford University projected.