mentality. They know who feeds them free milk.
Posted on 05/26/2020 6:27:35 AM PDT by caww
As the coronavirus pandemic rips through the world, the uncertainty is so great that it’s sillier than ever to read so much into polls this far out from the election.
First, polls were ineffective in predicting Trump’s 2016 victory. In 25 polls of Pennsylvania, Hillary was ahead in all but one of them. Trump led in only one Michigan poll in all of 2016. He never led in one poll in Wisconsin, a state in which Clinton was up by 6.5 points in the RealClearPolitics average ahead of Election Day yet Trump ended up winning all three states.
Second, there's an unusually wide range of outcomes for the fall in terms of the coronavirus and the economy. Under the pessimistic case, there is a huge second wave of infections of the coronavirus, putting a strain on medical systems simultaneously grappling with the onset of a new flu season... The economy could be mired in a deep depression expanding beyond the travel and leisure businesses that were initially hit hardest.
On the other hand, by then, the worst could be over. Heat and humidity could dramatically increase the caseload over the summer, and states could be much more prepared to ward off a second wave. And the first set of vaccine results could reveal a breakthrough, suggesting a light at the end of the tunnel and validating Trump’s “warp speed” declaration regarding vaccine development. States could be months into reopening by then, and pent-up demand could start to lift businesses.
Finally, Biden cannot stay in his basement the next five months fielding softball interviews he still manages to stumble through. There will be a real campaign, which require Biden to be challenged, scrutinized, and put under fire. He'll have to face Trump in debates — whatever form they may take.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Polls are tools of political manipulation.
They are not about finding out what people think about a certain issue.
They are about persuading people to adopt a position which has been previously identified for them.
I actually think can run his campaign from his basement and it wouldn’t change the outcome at all. 2020 probably won’t have many “thinking” voters. One of the reasons for such bad governance is so many just vote based on team.
Fox ‘News’ wants a close election cuz they make more money. Whatever it takes.
Just a thought: how many people who would normally be fatally vulnerable to the seasonal flu have already been eliminated by the Commie flu?
What anyone believes, politically is irrelevant, doesn’t matter........if ya don’t vote.
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The problem with polls, months or even weeks ahead of an election, is that pollsters are unable to gauge who is actually going to show up and vote.
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Quality polls only care about the “4 out of 5s”. Who’s voted the last 4 out of 5 elections.
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It’s expensive for pollsters to go to the individual voting registrars and find those people. So very few, almost none, do it.
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That’s why pollsters that work for individual campaigns, are much more accurate, they are paid better.
Political polls can be liken to a drunk leaning against a lamp post; more for support than illumination.
That’s funny!! (Only because it’s true)
After years of nonstop Trump bashing by the media, late night “comedians” and Hollywood, many respondents are reluctant to tell pollsters that they support the President.
But, come Election Day ...
I think you’re right!
Most polls are paid to be biased as I see it.
mentality. They know who feeds them free milk.
mentality. They know who feeds them free milk.
Fake polls are part of the FAKE NEWS MEDIA!
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