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Let’s Look At The Actual Facts About The Alleged Racism of Police
The Federalist ^ | June 7, 2020 | John R. Lott Jr

Posted on 06/08/2020 8:35:41 AM PDT by Kaslin

The media help foster a narrative there is an epidemic of Caucasian police officers killing black Americans out of racist impulses. But is it really true?


This past week, Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin was charged with the second-degree murder of George Floyd, a black man. Footage and photos of Floyd’s death launched protests and riots across the country. Despite there being no evidence yet that the officer was racist, it is simply assumed that racism motivated the Caucasian cop’s abusive actions.

Law enforcement officers can be careless or abusive without being racist. In Dallas, in 2016, a Caucasian man died after being arrested in the exact same way. The officers joked about the man being asleep, but he had died after pleading for help “more than 30 times.”

On Fox News Sunday this past weekend, host Chris Wallace mentioned a handful of cases that he thought showed a racist pattern. He pointed to Ahmaud Arbery, a black man who was shot dead by a retired police officer in February while out jogging in Georgia. He also mentioned a recent disturbing incident in New York’s Central Park, where a Caucasian woman who was walking her dog called police to report that she was being threatened by “an African-American man.” The man simply told her that the law requires her to keep her dog on a leash.

It’s worth recalling that following the nationwide riots after the Michael Brown shooting, the “Hands up, don’t shoot” aspect of the story was revealed to be false.

The media have helped create a biased perception that is far from the reality of shootings by police. A study conducted by the Crime Prevention Research Center (where I serve as president) found that when a Caucasian officer kills a suspect, the media usually mention the race of the officer. When the offending officer is black, however, any news coverage rarely mentions race.

Furthermore, there’s ample evidence that black Americans aren’t all that fed up with the police. A July 2017 Quinnipiac University poll in New York City found that black Americans strongly support the cops in their own neighborhoods—62 percent approved compared to just 35 percent who disapproved. That approval rating was 11 percent higher than for the New York City Police Department as a whole. It makes sense that people only know their local cops but rely on media reports to form impressions about the parts of the city they are less familiar with.

More recently, a Monmouth University poll surveyed a national sample of 807 adults between May 28 to June 1, 2020, and found that Americans of all races are largely supportive of their local police departments.

Monmouth poll: How satisfied are you with your local police department (Very or somewhat satisfied/ Somewhat or very dissatisfied):

College educated whites: 73% / 9%
Non-college whites: 70% / 14%
Black: 72% / 17%
Hispanic/Asian: 68% / 18%

— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) June 3, 2020

Through our own extensive research, my organization found 2,699 instances of police shootings across the nation from 2013-2015. That’s far more than the FBI found since its data is limited to only 1,366 cases voluntarily provided by police departments.

The FBI data has other problems, as well: It disproportionately includes cases from heavily minority areas, giving a misleading picture of the frequency at which blacks are shot.

Our database keeps track of characteristics of both the suspect and the officer involved in each shooting, local violent crime rates, demographics of the city and police department, and many other factors that help determine what causes police shootings.

Officers kill black Americans at a higher rate than their share of the population: 25 percent of the suspects killed were black, 45 percent Caucasian, and 16 percent Hispanic. But that isn’t true where the highest concentration of deaths occur. Black suspects tend to die in larger cities with populations averaging over 600,000 (overwhelmingly run by Democrats), while Caucasians are killed in smaller cities with an average population of 250,000.

Caucasian suspects were slightly more likely to be holding a firearm than blacks (63 percent to 61 percent). Black and Caucasian suspects where both equally likely to have been involved in violent crime when they lose their lives, though blacks who died were more likely to be involved in drug or property offenses.

It’s important to note, however, that police generally have more challenging jobs in cities where blacks are killed. The average city where blacks are killed had a 61 percent higher violent crime rate and a 126 percent higher murder rate than where the average Caucasian was killed.

After accounting for these and other factors, including the average differences across police departments to deal cultural differences in departments, we found that black officers were at least as likely as their Caucasian peers to kill black suspects, but that black officers were more likely to kill unarmed blacks than were Caucasian officers.

The data offered some advice for reducing these attacks. While it can’t explain all instances such as George Floyd’s case, usually when more police are present at the scene of a confrontation with a civilian, suspects face reduced odds of being killed. For each additional officer, there is about a 14 to 18 percent reduction in the suspect’s chances of being killed.

This makes intuitive sense. Officers feel more vulnerable if they are alone at the scene, making them more likely to resort to deadly force. Also, suspects may be emboldened and resist arrest when fewer officers are present.

It is a dangerous fiction that prejudiced Caucasian officers are going out and disproportionately killing black men. But that doesn’t mean that measures can’t be taken to reduce shootings by police. The most obvious step would be to increase the number of officers, to avoid forcing lone, vulnerable officers to make life-or-death decisions.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: crime; crimedata; crimestatistics; derekchauvin; georgefloyd; police; policeconduct; violence
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1 posted on 06/08/2020 8:35:41 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

I recall in the late 1990s Bill Clinton tried to spread a story about a rash of racist church fires in the south and had the FBI go on a wild goose chase and there was no trend. It was a false narrative.


2 posted on 06/08/2020 8:37:03 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (Joe Biden- "First thing I'd do is repeal those Trump tax cuts." (May 4th, 2019))
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To: Kaslin
Dear Kaslin,

Didn't you know that facts and reasoning are wasted on these people?

3 posted on 06/08/2020 8:40:59 AM PDT by scottiemom (As a retired Texas public school teacher, I highly recommend private school.)
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To: Kaslin
I think we should recognize the charge of racism as it is. It is MOSTLY an intimidation tactic designed to be used against the rest of us It also designed to clientize and cultivate blacks and other minorities and pry them off against the rest of us for political gain.
4 posted on 06/08/2020 8:41:48 AM PDT by amnestynone (We are asked by people who do not tolerate us to tolerate the intolerable in the name of tolerance.)
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To: a fool in paradise

Phony rash of black church burnings....

And Bill Clinton took time out from chasing women and attacking them to stand woefully and solemnly next to blacks in photo-ops to show “he cared.”


5 posted on 06/08/2020 8:44:07 AM PDT by frank ballenger (End vote fraud,harvesting,non-citizen voting & leftist media news censorship or we are finished.)
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To: Kaslin

Waste of time. They don’t care about facts. The only thing they seem to care about is to destroy. NO replacement plan, just destruction, filth and mayhem.


6 posted on 06/08/2020 8:46:34 AM PDT by Sequoyah101 (We are governed by the consent of the governed and we are fools for allowing it.)
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To: Kaslin

Bad boy, Kaslin . . . there you go screwing up the fake news narrative with facts! How do you expect the fake news fraudsters to do their jobs with honest people like you speaking out?????


7 posted on 06/08/2020 8:49:58 AM PDT by RatRipper ( Democrats and socialists are vile liars, thieves and murderers - enemies of good and America.)
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To: Kaslin

ping


8 posted on 06/08/2020 8:50:01 AM PDT by mikeus_maximus (There's a critical difference in knowing about God, and knowing God.)
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To: amnestynone

One charge of “racist” repeated in media and social media will ruin someone’s life. Lost job. Lost career. Company ruined or taken away. Even if untrue! Founder of Papa John’s Pizza and many, many more.

When and where and in what words did President Trump EVER show himself to be a racist?
That doesn’t stop the Evil Leftist News Media People and the Dems from constantly repeating he’s a racist. Liars.

Before they knew to hate him, the loved him on the left. He gave millions to causes they liked. Invited Bill & Hillary to his wedding. His picture next to dozens of smiling, congenial African American ministers, athletes, boxers, council members, authors, TV and Movie stars can be found in old galleries.
Then he announced for President: What? Trump, that racist?/s


9 posted on 06/08/2020 8:51:06 AM PDT by frank ballenger (End vote fraud,harvesting,non-citizen voting & leftist media news censorship or we are finished.)
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To: frank ballenger
When and where and in what words did President Trump EVER show himself to be a racist?

President Trump's problem is he's refreshingly honest, which means he's not PC. THAT is what the Left can't handle. They love free speech, as long as you're saying what they want to hear.

10 posted on 06/08/2020 8:59:44 AM PDT by Kharis13
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To: Kaslin
I don't know, man. John Lott is a lot smarter than me but it just seems to me all this time and effort trying to prove a negative is pointless. It's so much arguing about how many angels can dance on the head of a pin.

I'm not as articulate as John Lott and all these other guys but the only argument that is going to hit Liberals in the gut is pointing out that every single person involved in government in Minneapolis and most of everyone involved in government in Minnesota is a demonicRAT.

Make them prove otherwise. Make them prove a negative.

Their go-to argument is systemic racism. Our go-to argument should be the system in Minneapolis is dominated by demonicRATS.

As was the case in Baltimore and New York and every other city where a white cop brutally killed a black man.

End of rant.

Commence going back to how many angels can dance on the head of a pin. I say 3 million, 800 thousand, 5 hundred and 32.

Prove me wrong.

11 posted on 06/08/2020 9:07:35 AM PDT by Texas Eagle
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To: Kaslin

Love to see the statistical facts to argue with.


12 posted on 06/08/2020 9:19:36 AM PDT by TiGuy22
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To: Kaslin

“The media help foster a narrative there is an epidemic of Caucasian police officers killing black Americans out of racist impulses. But is it really true?”

Hell, no, it’s not true. It’s not even plausible. You’d have to be stupid as a sack of dirt even to entertain the suspicion.


13 posted on 06/08/2020 9:21:22 AM PDT by dsc (As for the foundations of the Catholic faith, this pontificate is an outrage to reason.)
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To: frank ballenger
Certainly, you remember the time Donald Trump called a trusted female African-American advisor a "brain dead buffalo", don't you? Oh, right .. that was Hillary. (Donna Brazile)

And he's not only racist, he's antisemitic, too. Called a trusted Jewish advisor an "effin Jew B@$t@rd". Oops, that was Hillary, too. (Dick Morris)

14 posted on 06/08/2020 9:21:41 AM PDT by mellow velo
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To: scottiemom

This hysteria is aimed at destroying another pillar of Western Civilization: Law and Order.


15 posted on 06/08/2020 9:22:45 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) 2028!)
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To: Kharis13

“They love free speech, as long as you’re saying what they want to hear.”

As William F. Buckley wrote, “Liberals claim to want to give a hearing to other views, but then are shocked and offended to discover that there *are* other views.”


16 posted on 06/08/2020 9:24:30 AM PDT by dsc (As for the foundations of the Catholic faith, this pontificate is an outrage to reason.)
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To: Kaslin

[[Officers kill black Americans at a higher rate than their share of the population: 25 percent of the suspects killed were black,]]

Is this because there are far more black criminals in black dominated areas/cities throughout the US? The fact that more blacks are shot and killed doesn’t automatically mean the police are racist- the point is, it very well could be that police are forced to confront more black people than white in many black dominated cities- more violent black people- What this stat could very well mean is that more black people per 1000 are violent compared to white people per 1000- while there are far more white folks, the ratio of violent to non violent is what matters when comparing races- It could very well be that the vast majority of white crimes are ‘white collar crimes’ compared to black crimes which could be more violent

For instance, we see massive violence in chicago where- black on black murders are rampant- than white on white per 1000 etc- - police are forced ot confront violent black people far more than they are forced to face violent white folks in chicago-


17 posted on 06/08/2020 9:33:42 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: scottiemom

LIBERALS never car about facts.
It is all about how things make them FEEL.

This is the basic difference between Liberals and Conservatives. Conservatives tend to be analytical/fact based interprtation. Liberals go by feelings.


18 posted on 06/08/2020 9:34:38 AM PDT by woodbutcher1963 (carpe diem)
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To: Kaslin
The race of the victim doesn't concern me as much as the fact that the police do it and nine times out of ten they walk away from it. Yeah, I know it's a tough job. Yeah, I know that "a policeman's lot is not a happy one." But it's a job they chose to take on. And if they can't do it without killing suspects by kneeling on them, or blowing away paramedics in her apartment on a no-knock warrant to the wrong address for a person who was already in custody or shooting unarmed suspects of any race then perhaps they should find another line of work.

And lost in all this is the fact that we're finding out about these incidents because everyone has a camera on their cellphones. How many people died without any consequences to the police before videos?

19 posted on 06/08/2020 9:42:02 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Kaslin

Don’t bother liberals with facts. If the facts contradict the narrative, the facts lie.


20 posted on 06/08/2020 10:10:30 AM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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