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Professor and Political Scientist Helmut Norpoth, accurately predicted Trump's 2016 victory a full 9 months before the election. He now says President Trump has a 91% chance of winning in November, and here is why....
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The Primary Model (2020)
91-95% Certain Trump Will Be Re-elected
The Primary Model gives President Trump a 91% chance of winning a possible match-up with Democrat Joe Biden in November, based on primary performance in New Hampshire and South Carolina, plus the first-term electoral benefit. Trump would get 362 electoral votes, Biden 176.
In a possible match-up with Bernie Sanders in November, Trump’s chance of winning would rise to 95%. In that scenario, Trump would get 390 electoral votes, Sanders 148.
Caution: The massive disruptions caused by the Coronavirus outbreak may prompt me to revise the forecast, especially if there is a crack in Trump support. ⬅️ WTF believes there will be a CRACK in TRUMP support?? 😆 🤣

➡️ Helmut Norpoth on Ingraham Angle

⤵️ The Primary Model (2020)

⤵️ Trump not a bad bet to win reelection

⤵️ Joe Biden lead in polls does not ensure final victory for election