“As to whether there is a “shy Trump vote”, I think yes, there is. There may be a 1-3% effect from this.”
You make very good points, but this is the major point about which we disagree. I believe the ‘shy Trump vote’ is significantly larger than in 2016, and is likely to be at least 5-8% - probably more. There was no movement to ‘defund police’, make Americans pay reparations, loot and take over areas of cities, and demonize caucasians in 2016. There is now.
“There was no movement to ‘defund police’, make Americans pay reparations, loot and take over areas of cities, and demonize caucasians in 2016. There is now.”
Huge new dynamic, IMO. I think many “moderates” have awakened to the D’rat cancer.