I got curious about how Germany performed since you brought up the comparison and I haven't looked at them before. Here's the comparison of daily COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 people:
Source: https://covid19.healthdata.org/germany
Note that the "observed" figures only run through July 7th, so the data is a little over a week old.
Germany may have taken the Obama H1N1 approach and just stopped testing.
Trump was wise to start talking about that.
In my local German town (Wiesbaden, 285k residents), the number of infected since day one...is around 490 (about 440 well at this point), and 22 dead (most all of them over 70, with secondary conditions like diabetes, COPD, etc).
You can do various statistical analysis over this...it’s just awful low, but there’s around 30-odd ban-rules that went into place in April, and still maybe 10 ban-rules in place at this point.