Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: BeauBo

Agree !

But can they do it & have it be more then an indifferent armed mob fighting a more poorly armed but maybe motivated armed mob. All stretched over a supply line from Egypt through (or as deep as they want go !) Libya. Libya’s not small.

I don’t remember reading anything about Egyptian performance in Yemen. That makes me think it was poor.


18 posted on 07/20/2020 3:55:43 PM PDT by Reily
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies ]


To: Reily

“I don’t remember reading anything about Egyptian performance in Yemen. That makes me think it was poor.”

That is the consensus opinion. A long and inconclusive quagmire.

“But can they do it” (in Libya)

There is the $64,000 question.

Given the huge size of the Egyptian Military, relative to the other forces on the field, they clearly have the potential to bring decisive force to bear.

As you point out, there is a LOT of ground to cover. A lot of troops could be used, just to hold positions, where they could gradually be picked off.

Alternatively, Egyptian armor, air and artillery (if supported with some good intel), could lead an overwhelming Blitzkrieg along the coastal roads and communities, where the population is concentrated, back to the outskirts of Tripoli, where their LNA (Haftar) allies were before Turkey’s recent reinforcement of the GNA.

So if they go big enough to win decisively, before the opposition can ramp up reinforcements, that might be a reasonable strategy. That would likely require a lot of coordination with America, for intel and targeting. The American Military might want a thorough plan first which could delay action, and allow the Turks to reinforce further.

I’m pretty sure that the American Military will be very careful not to get Turkish (NATO) blood on their hands directly. There is no way to know how much planning and coordination has already been done - that would be classified.

Alternatively, the Egyptians might just set limited objectives of securing the Eastern oil fields, and the area around Sirte (just restoring the status quo), hoping to avoid forcing the conflict with Turkey into an all or nothing contest, more likely to escalate. Turkey might respect that red line, just because of the high cost required to cross it.

A lot of players and moving parts - but this authorization for the biggest Military in the region to jump in, is a major development.


23 posted on 07/20/2020 6:37:37 PM PDT by BeauBo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson