[LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget]

Bottom lines I draw from this and other info:

Asymptomatic spread seems a very low probability.
10 days from onset of symptoms spread is likely starting high and rapidly dropping.
People with symptoms must isolate for 2 weeks from onset.
High risk people should strongly avoid going out and take severe precautions when they do. (Masks/Grocery drop off/avoid the public/etc.)
The rest of us should go about our business as usual with some rational precautions.

Looks like Sweden got it right and the rest of the world screwed the pooch.

[gas_dr]

And Fearpers everywhere will ignore the data. Imagine that. As I have said all along. This virus is like every other one in the history of virology and acts the same.

[Fai Mao]

Bottom lines I draw from this and other info:

Asymptomatic spread seems a very low probability.
YOu Wrote:
10 days from onset of symptoms spread is likely starting high and rapidly dropping.
People with symptoms must isolate for 2 weeks from onset.
High-risk people should strongly avoid going out and take severe precautions when they do. (Masks/Grocery drop off/avoid the public/etc.)
The rest of us should go about our business as usual with some rational precautions.

Looks like Sweden got it right and the rest of the world screwed the pooch.

_________________________

As I have been saying for 6-weeks: Quarantine the sick, protect the vulnerable, everyone else is careful.

This isn’t the normal flu but it isn’t the Black Death either.

[Basket_of_Deplorables]

Actually, “10 days from onset of symptoms” you are no longer contagious, for mild to moderate cases, per above.

[palmer]

Looks like Sweden got it right and the rest of the world screwed the pooch.

In terms of cases and deaths, Sweden is no different from France, Spain, Netherlands, etc. Same or worse deaths and now zero deaths In fact all of western Europe has essentially zero deaths except UK, Portugal with a few, and a smattering elsewhere. What Sweden did do right is not trash their economy (as much) in their response.

[Svartalfiar]

High risk people should strongly avoid going out and take severe precautions when they do. (Masks/Grocery drop off/avoid the public/etc.) The rest of us should go about our business as usual with some rational precautions.

So just some quick numbers off the top of my head: Dallas County is supposedly a current hotbed for positive tests. They are 'red' out of red/oj/yellow/green.

Cumulative positives to date: 46,813
Dallas County population: 2.6MM

The 7-day average chart on their summary pdf put this month at around 800/day. So, let's say people are potentially infectious for two weeks. Down to 11M people. Many of these are currently in a hospital, or if they have symptoms but not too bad, are likely isolating at home. So your positives with minimal symptoms, and your unknown untested infectious are the only ones possibly currently spreading it around everywhere. So even if we take the total of those positives in the two-week time frame, assume all of them are walking around, you get 11M / 2.6MM, or a .43% chance that the guy you run into at the grocery or anywhere is infected, and contagious. I was very liberal with numbers, so it's definitely much lower. But that's also in a 'hotbed' of current positives, a very tiny chance you even run into someone with it, much less get infected.

[gleeaikin]

Here are some statistical comparisons for Sweden with USA and attached or surrounding states, including Baltic small states. Country/Deaths per million. USA/454 - Sweden/564 - Norway/47 (shared border) - Finland/59 (shared border) - Denmark/106 (across water) - Latvia/16 (Baltic shore) - Estonia/52 (Baltic shore) - Lithuania/29 (Baltic shore). I wonder how the Swedes feel about their statistics when they look at their neighbors? What is it that the Swedes got Right?