The Helmut Norpoth model.
And for this year, 2020
Posted on 08/25/2020 8:11:32 PM PDT by 11th_VA
David Bossie, the president of the conservative advocacy group Citizens United and an advisor to Donald Trump’s reelection campaign, told Yahoo News on Tuesday he believes the president will win three states in the 2020 election that he narrowly lost in 2016 — and potentially clinch victory as a result.
Bossie, who was deputy chairman of Trump’s successful 2016 campaign, was briefly ousted from the president’s inner circle after allegations last year that he was using one of his political groups to profit off the president. But Bossie, who denies the charges, has recently been welcomed back to Trump’s inner circle and appeared with the president’s Capitol Hill allies at the House impeachment hearings and in other high-profile settings. A longtime Trump confidant, Bossie is serving as co-chairman of Trump’s Maryland campaign team and speaks regularly with the president and his reelection team, he said.
In a Tuesday interview with the “Skullduggery” podcast, Bossie said Trump’s campaign leadership is “really focused on the battleground states that are important and that are in a very good place to take that nine-week run to the finish line.” Recent Yahoo News polling shows that while Biden did not get a post-convention bounce, the former vice president nonetheless leads Trump by 11 points nationally among registered voters.
Still, Bossie predicted that Trump will win in part by flipping states he narrowly lost last time.
“Nevada is definitely in play, Minnesota is 100 percent winnable, and New Hampshire,” Bossie said. “All three of those states the president can and probably will win.”
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
It’s certainly a hell of a lot more in play than it was 9 months ago. I did a pretty good job of turning that inevitable-doom mindset around to an aggressive winning one, if I do say so myself.
It’s certainly a hell of a lot more in play than it was 9 months ago. I did a pretty good job of turning that inevitable-doom mindset around to an aggressive winning one, if I do say so myself.
It’s certainly a hell of a lot more in play than it was 9 months ago. I did a pretty good job of turning that inevitable-doom mindset around to an aggressive winning one, if I do say so myself.
Let’s hope you’re right. If the return for Delaware comes in quickly as a Trump win, that would be the possible start of Trump batting 1000.
He’s smart, that Biden guy. By picking Harris he got a lock on California...
DK
“It seems like everyone has forgotten about that.”
I for one appreciate the reminder.
“the former vice president nonetheless leads Trump by 11 points nationally among registered voters.”
why i may ask isn’t biden FIFTY points ahead?
(because no one would believe the fake polls that might say that, whereas only ELEVEN points MIGHT be believable to some, so that’s how we came up with that number)
I wonder....
Likely CA will go dem as it always does through vote fraud.
But I don’t know that it’s a guarantee or locked in.
With Harris’ history of prosecuting blacks, they should not count on it.
I really don’t see NM or HI going red though.
November? Yeah but did he say by what year the votes will finally all be counted?
Popular vote
Trump Clinton
Popular vote 62,984,828[2] 65,853,514[2]
Percentage 46.1% 48.2%
Oregon is going to have a recall election of Crazy Kate in October. It sounds like they have the signatures.
That’s great. I however hope everyone goes out to vote. Always assume one is 10 points behind.
New York? Really?
In urbanized areas of Wash and Oregon, I might go and predict that a third of the pro-Hillary folks of 2016, will go and vote for Trump on this round....mostly because Covid-19 economic issues and the BLM/Antifa anti-police stance. If that happens...then they both flip.
You have no clue at the Trump hatred in general, or moreso in the swing states. Sorry.
That would be most excellent.
I live in NOVA. There are just too many people who have moved here in the past ten years (almost 500,000 people in our part of the state alone) who have brought their ‘Rat politics with them. Only 1 seat out of 30 in the VA House of Delegates from NOVA is held by a GOPer. Manassas used to be a GOP city; now only one of six aldermen is a GOPer (as is the Mayor) and both will probably be swept out in the next election. Our delegate is the Bernie Sanders acolyte Lee Carter, and he looks like he is going to be in office for a while.
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