The Helmut Norpoth model.
And for this year, 2020
Even if you know that Republicans in your county will win by a landslide, vote! Do it to make sure that we win the *popular* vote by as much as possible!
Because that would make a statement that would have an effect on domestic enemies and encourage all who are fed up with them.
I wonder about Oregon and Washington?
Trump in a landslide!
The Yahoo scum throw all kinds of mud on this guy.
Virginia, is forever DARK blue. They can’t even have local Repubs. You may live there, but don’t get your hopes up!
Minnesota is more winnable than Virginia, which is astounding, but a reflection of the disparate economic conditions over the last few decades. Virginia and Colorado have fallen so fast and so far while increasing technology jobs.
Other commenters here don’t seem to agree with you that Virginia is in play. What do you think of your new state Chairan Rich Anderson and new National Committeewoman Patti Lyman? I know Patti from a FB group and radio appearances. She sure has the enthusiasm.
Chairman, Prince George’s County GOP
Although it was just one little election, I hope that the Staunton city council election earlier this year is a harbinger for VA. It seems like everyone has forgotten about that.
Other commenters here don’t seem to agree with you that Virginia is in play. What do you think of your new Chair Rich Anderson and new NCW Patti Lyman? I know Patti from a FB group and radio appearances. She sure has the enthusiasm.
Illinois is winnable.
Seriously, it is.
L
Yahoo has polls?
Since when?
Do they use the same secret sauce as CNN (Biden is leading by 15%)?
It’s certainly a hell of a lot more in play than it was 9 months ago. I did a pretty good job of turning that inevitable-doom mindset around to an aggressive winning one, if I do say so myself.
It’s certainly a hell of a lot more in play than it was 9 months ago. I did a pretty good job of turning that inevitable-doom mindset around to an aggressive winning one, if I do say so myself.
It’s certainly a hell of a lot more in play than it was 9 months ago. I did a pretty good job of turning that inevitable-doom mindset around to an aggressive winning one, if I do say so myself.
November? Yeah but did he say by what year the votes will finally all be counted?
That’s great. I however hope everyone goes out to vote. Always assume one is 10 points behind.
It should be a landslide for Trump.
There are nine states plus D.C. mailing out ballots to everyone on their list, but Trump lost all of those states in 2016, except for only one. That state is Utah.
Donald Trump was the underdog in 2016, yet he CRUSHED Hillary Clinton in the electoral college.
Now, while many Democrats may believe that Biden will beat Trump in November, Professor Helmut Norpoth suggests that that is a false sense of security.
Professor Norpoth correctly predicted the 2016 presidential election, even as the polls appeared to suggest that Trump would lose to Hillary Clinton.
Norpoth, a political science professor who went viral for his TED Talk "How to Predict Elections," gives President Trump a 91% chance of being reelected.
NINETY-ONE-PERCENT!
We love those odds!
Specifically, Norpoth predicts that Trump will receive 362 electoral votes.
Only 270 is needed to win the White House.
Fairfax county kills us