They don’t have a clue because everyone quit talking to pollsters.
Only 46% approval at Rasmussen today. Weird.
Oops. Here’s the link.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_aug28
News casters in the news. I’d ramble about the decay of msm, but they have always been crap.
While Tapper argued the convention presented a filtered and skewed view of Trump (of a president “not sending tweets that upset people”), he suggested it could help give the president an electoral bump. Other analysts came away with a similar prediction.
What’s the point here? I assume Jake is ok that the Democrat convention presented a filtered and skewed view of Joe Biden.
Don’t we expect conventions to put their best foot forward, for whatever candidate they support?
What is he saying? That the convention showcased Trump? And is that bad?
Nothing like covering all bases, while at the same time providing the most negative spin on Trump's real chances.
...and Hillary still has a 92% chance of winning.
Why do these new agencies keep saying he’s behind in the polls? HE’S NOT BEHIND!
Fivethirtyeight says Biden as a 70% chance of beating Trump.
Look at what they said back in 2016 about Hillary’s chances:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
National polls don’t mean anything, because Biden has a huge lead in a few BIG blue states (CA, NY) that skew the national totals.
The fact that they have Trump close (and even leading) in a few traditionally blue, battleground states indicates Trump has a lead where it counts: in the Electoral college.
But, not reason to let up at this point. Getting overconfident and coasting to the finish line is the last thing we need to do.
Which means he can’t possibly be trailing Biden.
The idea that Trump trails Biden is like saying the Sun isn’t
hot. It just defies personal observation.
FOX sucks. Their polls are biased, unscientific, and designed to influence public opinion. Ever since Paul Ryan was appointed to their Board, FOX has plummeted into the vast undertow of LEFTIST propaganda. The sitution is getting worse by the day. Tucker Carlson is all that is left.
Psst.
He doesn’t “trail” Biteme.
Trump has about 306 electoral votes locked up; MN and NH pretty well in his column; and NM, NV, ME and even VA now teetering.
Trump will win the popular vote.