In all fairness, the Minnesota Poll has not been particularly credible over the last few years. They tend to dramatically undersample Republicans. This poll is also reflective of registered voters only.
One thing you do see in the polling is the wide gulf between urban/suburban and rural Minnesota.
The article is worth reading.
Comments or opinions - anyone?
If Biden is at 48% in Minnesota, he is not leading nationally by the margins other polls have indicated.
Okay, but what about the real numbers?
The oct 2016 poll for Star Tribune had Hillary up by 8. She won by 1.5. Poll off by 6.5. If current poll is free by 6.5, Trump wins MN.
Biden by 6? Ya gotta be kidding me.
This poll is worthless.
No he doesn’t all that you see from the press is a ruse.
Minnesota voters must be as brain damaged as Joe Biden.
This is awesome for Trump showing if he’s within 6 in Minnesota he can really press now as if he gets Minnesota he’s probably winning re-election
Don’t know about Minnesota. I’m in California and see several hundred people daily. So far I haven’t met anyone who is going to vote for Biden. I think California will be going RED!!
VOTE DEM OUT I hope Trump will make a campaign stop in CA
These polls are going to be wrong, just as they were in 2016. One of the largest problems with them is the polling samples always lean liberal. Those who would support Trump do not have phone numbers that can be called by the pollster. Many are cell phones that are not on record. Many put their cell phones on a busy signal with an ap so they cannot be reached. Others do not answer unless they can recognize the caller I.D. Some are FAX number. Those who do answer will play games with the poll. If they are asked who they favor for election, they will answer yes for one question and yes for an opposite question. The pollster company may be not be independent and that may be a big part of the bias against Trump.
Numerous analyses of MSM polls have found a consistent oversampling of dems across the board. Including Fox News polls. The oversampling range is from 9% - 12%.
After all the burning, looting, and mayhem caused by Biden voters in Minneapolis you’d think some people would learn.
But I guess you can’t fix stupid.
All polls are BS, but media polls are industrial-strength BS.
At this point, “undecided” really means “not saying”.
Democrats may be in trouble in Minnesota.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mn/minnesota_trump_vs_biden-6966.html#polls
the way i look at these things is to track the same poll over time, so at least you get the trend instead of worrying about all the things that effect the level.
This poll is the same as May, and a lot bettter for Trump than Oct 2019.
Wait until after the presidential debates are done, if they, even, happen at all. How can Biden win them, and how can Trump lose them? Biden is a profound gaffe machine, even when cheating! A landslide general election victory for Trump is, just, around the corner!
President Trump will carry the Iron Range. He will be in Duluth on Wednesday. His internals are saying he will win the state.
It will come down to turnout. For a while, I was seeing Trump ads on stations other than Fox; figured he must think it’s competitive. Now it’s wall to wall disingenuous Biden ads and no Trump ads.
I live in downtown St. Paul and there is no overt Trump support and you’d be risking much if you showed any. Very sad. Minnesota nice used to be real, but the Twin Cities went through many changes in the 70’s and 80’s not for the better.
I figure the core cities will be 75% Biden, 20% Trump (there’s always fringes that get votes too). Suburbs maybe 55/45 to Biden sadly. Out-state I’d guess 65% Trump now, but there’s still strong DFL history in the farms and the iron range.
At least once a week I get a absentee ballot request form from the county; I’m suspicious of course and will be voting in person.
Overall, I’m pessimistic - it’s my nature anyway.
I haven’t seen many ads for Senate at all, but think that Jason Lewis might have a chance with a good out-state turnout.
Next Spring, I’m out of here.
At the first link you’ll see 2 1/2 minutes of a man the new leftist Democrats have thrust into a situation & role his clearly damaged state tells me just as clearly HE does not fully comprehend.
I have never been a fan of Biden, his politics or his past excursions into the corruption now the MO of too many politicians.
But I’d like you to think about something that hit me as I’ve watched him these last few months: If, in their insane quest to regain power, the Democrats will cruelly exploit and subject to ridicule a man for whom they profess love and affection, JUST HOW DO YOU THINK THEY’LL TREAT US BECAUSE WE OPPOSED THEM? GOD HELP US IF THEY REGAIN CONTROL OF THIS COUNTRY!
The second link is to my short video that will refresh your recollection of an earlier radical leftist tyrant’s response to those who opposed him.
And as you watch that one, remember that the most dangerous & deadly phrase in any language is “THAT could never happen HERE!”
THE HELL IT CAN’T!
Dick Bachert
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnafho4KMiQ&feature=youtu.be
https://www.brighteon.com/6039981365001
Roughly comparable Strib poll from 2016 showed Hillary with a 6 point lead. That was likely voters, which generally shows a smaller lead for Democrats. Meaning that Biden's 6 point lead here would be a few points lower when translated from registered to likely voters.
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Clinton (D)
|
Trump (R)
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 46.4 | 44.9 | Clinton +1.5 |
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | 10/22 - 10/25 | 656 LV | 3.9 | 53 | 42 | Clinton +11 |
| Star Tribune* | 10/20 - 10/22 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 47 | 39 | Clinton +8 |
| Gravis* | 9/23 - 9/23 | 906 LV | 3.3 | 43 | 43 | Tie |
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | 9/16 - 9/20 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 43 | Clinton +6 |
| Star Tribune* | 9/12 - 9/14 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 38 | Clinton +6 |
| Star Tribune*** | 4/25 - 4/27 | 800 RV | 3.5 | 48 | 35 | Clinton +13 |
| Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon | 1/18 - 1/20 | 800 RV | 3.5 | 43 | 38 | Clinton +5 |
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | 10/29 - 11/2 | 516 RV | 4.4 | 42 | 45 | Trump +3 |
| PPP (D) | 7/30 - 8/2 | 1015 RV | 3.1 | 44 | 39 | Clinton +5 |
More lamestream ‘big lie’ polls and articles.....