To: Coop
Let me first issue some caveats. House races are notoriously difficult to call, and Democrats may win some sneakers, especially with the wildly popular Joseph Biden in the lead. Democrats also will cheat their way to victory in many areas, so this map may be considerably optimistic. Republicans are reportedly in complete disarray, whereas Democrats are energized and excited because of the prospect of unseating Trump, and they will not stay home in the face of excellent polling like they did last time. (Republicans on this forum tend rather indefatigably enthusiastic despite the surging Democrat sentiment.) Non-campaign spending, not considered here, strongly, even almost exclusively, favors Democrats, and media except a few partisan commentators strongly approve of Democrats and even their terrorist organizations and despise Republicans with unprecedented fervor. Moreover, church attendance, a key indicator of Republican votes, has collapsed staggeringly but unevenly across the country, suggesting mass conversion to atheistic Communism that even this map does not consider.
69 posted on
10/11/2020 10:00:54 AM PDT by
dufekin
(Vote Trump; save lives)
To: dufekin
You’ve made some assertions in your paragraph of text. Not being combative here, genuinely curious: Can you provide references for those assertions?
70 posted on
10/11/2020 10:15:08 AM PDT by
Lazamataz
(The NYT commits acts of violence with their words.)
To: dufekin
Republicans are reportedly in complete disarrayLOL! In Keith Olbermann's world, I'm sure.
House races are notoriously difficult to call
Why? Incumbents historically win at a 90+% clip.
Republicans on this forum tend rather indefatigably enthusiastic despite the surging Democrat sentiment
Really? So why does the GOP often lead Democrats (the party out of White House power is traditionally more enthused) in enthusiasm this election cycle? Often by double digits? I did find a recent Gallup poll of adults that showed Dems with a lead of 80-75%. But the same poll also says:
Gallup's enthusiasm measure has not been a strong predictor of turnout, historically...
And why does Biden get dozens to a "rally" while Trump has thousands upon thousands? And why is the GOP doing better in voter registration in several key states, if they're unenthused and in disarray?
Assuming you're not a troll, please read this thread and find some positive data to focus on.
78 posted on
10/11/2020 2:06:18 PM PDT by
Coop
(After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
To: dufekin
This map used to be much redder. I hope it returns.
176 posted on
10/22/2020 4:05:56 PM PDT by
napscoordinator
(Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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