I agree that Tony Gonzales has a fight to hold TX-23. I think the close races, plus frustration with Trump, made Will Hurd retire. Trump lost TX-23 by 3.2 points.
But why are you worried about retiring Rob Woodall's seat in GA-07? Trump won it by nearly 7 points (51.1 - 44.8), and both McCain and Romney took 60% of the vote there. It has a PVI of R+9. The GOP candidate is a former U.S. Marine and ER doc, Rich McCormick*.
Nearly lost in 2018 and I think there were way more rat primary votes this year. Romney’s numbers are ancient history, unfortunately. Atlanta suburbs are turning to the dark side.
I’m worried about GA-07 because (i) Woodall was not scandal-tarred yet barely won it in 2018 (less than a 0.5% victory margin IIRC) and (ii) the Dem turnout in the primary was much higher than the GOP turnout. But I agree that we have a great candidate in GA-07 (as well as in TX—23), and I am certainly not writing it off. Given our recent performance in those formerly safe suburban Atlanta CDs, I would not be surprised if we failed to hold GA-07 and didn’t win back GA-06 either. We can win both races, but we just as easily could lose them both.