Posted on 10/12/2020 7:44:43 AM PDT by Ikemeister
Update: Joe Biden holds a solid 8.5-point lead over President Donald Trump, barely three weeks ahead of Election Day.
Each day, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll data will reflect a survey of 800-1,000 likely voters conducted over the prior five days.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
With all the exodus from the cities, not so sure about the rural vote anymore
I guess we will find out on election day
I filled out my mail in ballot yesterday (NJ) and will be dropping it off at the county election commission office (don’t trust the post office or the drop off boxes) in person.
It is a process.
I heard that a ton of Democrat ballots were tossed in the primary election because Democrats don’t follow directions. Used the wrong envelope, didn’t sign, didn’t fill it out etc etc
Trump has a possibility to win NJ
Pay no attention to the polls, go out and vote. Vote like your life depends on it because it does.
I see some flaws in the detailed data. For instance, Trump only polls 4% better than Biden among southern voters? The last IBD/TIPP regular poll had the race withing the margin of error, and the 5 point jump for Biden in their first tracking poll is puzzling. Also can’t find their sample size by party.
Already posted. Get rid of this thread
This was discussed in an earlier thread. One interesting thing to note is they are showing Biden’s advantage over Trump with the Hispanic vote that good bit smaller compared to Hillary’s in 2016. Also, Hillary had about a 6 percent lead over Trump at this time in 2016 with this IBD.
Both my wife’s and my vote have been cast and have been accepted by the county election office here in PA.
The internals were 321 Democrats, 298 Republicans (7 percent Democrat oversample) and 234 Independents (a good number of these would likely vote for Bernie Sanders or Jill Stein).
Angry much?
“The internals were 321 Democrats, 298 Republicans (7 percent Democrat oversample) and 234 Independents (a good number of these would likely vote for Bernie Sanders or Jill Stein).”
Thanks for the productive reply. A seven per cent Democrat oversample fits right in with most of the polls, which range from 6-10%.
You can bet that the previous angry poster isn’t out working like the rest of us.
If the final polling has Biden under 10%, then Trump will likely win... The good news... The more Biden is up in the polls, the less likely older Democrat voters will bother voting. They’ll think it’s in the bag and the DumcRats won’t need their support.
That’s essentially what happened last time... Hillary was the obvious winner or, at least that’s what the media reported and bit Democrats in the *ss.
Probably should have gotten around to addressing that.
I just finished my column for the local paper I write for and basically said the same thing, but even the internals of some of the media polls show a lack of enthusiasm for Biden. In one poll that gave Biden a big lead, 91% of Trump supporters said they were absolutely sure they would vote for him whereas only 67% of Biden supporters said the same thing about their candidate.
alt-right are Leftists - you just replace the identity politics with white supremacy - they are still collectivists / communists in all other senses.
That's certainly good news. I'm a little surprised at Trump's flagging support from senior citizens. It's showing up in lots of polls. I wonder if the Dem's crazy claims about attacking SS are having some impact?
The senior problem is all about COVID. Not SS.
Literally Venezuela if he wins.
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