Posted on 10/26/2020 9:28:41 AM PDT by LeonardFMason
they now include online to try and capture youth-may not be accurate-watch trend
He's been in everyone's living rooms regularly for several months nationwide controlling the narrative without any opposition.
This a fairly reliable poll. Although voter enthusiasm, new voter registrations, Biden’s scandals, and the insane antics of the left over the past four years leads me to believe Trump will win, this makes me pause. Hopefully it improves over the final week.
That may have been but when investigating the internals, there are some serious issues with this poll. First, it shows Biden winning 65+, winning the Christian vote (both Protestant and Catholic), Trump is polling lower than 2016 amongst Blacks and Hispanics.
Their data is inconsistent with other polling data. So either the other polls that show Trump winning the Christian vote, higher Black support, and higher Hispanic support is wrong or, this poll is wrong.
These are the ones I’ve seen before. They seem more like what I’ve been looking at on the ground.
If Biden was leading Trump by 3 in Texas, Donald Trump would be camped out in Texas, instead of Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina and New Hampshire.
My husband has noticed that even IBD has changed its tone in the last four years. WSJ is absolutely unreadable.
Even the possibility of VA tied is a miracle. Just the thought!
They also are go hard after the Bot-vote.
Democrats targeted a lot of institutions which were helpful to President Trump the last time around. Look at Drudge for one of the most cogent examples. IBD/TIPP may have been corrupted as well. So if I was you I would not lose any sleep over it.
Not a miracle! Reality!
wasn’t the spread on this poll 8.5% yesterday?
It does look worrisome to me if Biden is “campaigning” in Georgia this week and Harris is in Texas. This means they think they have the battleground states they need and are expanding their leads.
Of course there’s only so many times you can visit PA I guess.
LOL if they thought they had Texas, Biden would be going. Texas is safe for another election cycle.
Larry Schweikart, who has an excellent track record, just reported that the Rs have gained a 280,000 vote advantage among early in person voters when he had projected 300,000 by the end of the week. Of course, this has to be matched against the Dems’ vote by mail advantage but he had determined if the R’s early vote exceeded the Ds by 300,000, Trump would win.
Hmmmm...
I have great respect for him and his info is accurate, but trends don’t always hold up in the very end...like in 2018. The trends did not hold up in the end in 2018 in a number of races where it looked like we had it in the bag in a number of races that did not materialize.
Understand that but I also remember he was on-point in Florida for both the governor and senator races and almost no one else was. The only surprise I saw in the 2018 senate race was Tester in Montana.
“Anyone that Believe Biden is ahead in the South by seven points is delusional.”
I did a quick look at the poll and the South numbers jumped out at me.
That is not reality.
Also Rasmussen just reported that 54 percent of likely voters believe Biden may have been consulted on, and profited from his dirtbag son’s foreign investments. This needs to be pounded for the next 8 days in advertising as the damned media won’t report a thing.
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