RE: IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll
I don’t like what I see. IBD/TIPP was one of the most accurate polls in 2016. They actually went against the grain 4 years ago and predicted a Trump victory.
That may have been but when investigating the internals, there are some serious issues with this poll. First, it shows Biden winning 65+, winning the Christian vote (both Protestant and Catholic), Trump is polling lower than 2016 amongst Blacks and Hispanics.
Their data is inconsistent with other polling data. So either the other polls that show Trump winning the Christian vote, higher Black support, and higher Hispanic support is wrong or, this poll is wrong.
My husband has noticed that even IBD has changed its tone in the last four years. WSJ is absolutely unreadable.
Democrats targeted a lot of institutions which were helpful to President Trump the last time around. Look at Drudge for one of the most cogent examples. IBD/TIPP may have been corrupted as well. So if I was you I would not lose any sleep over it.