Now Republicans are approaching parity in early votes, they’ve shifted the argument to “well, both sides are going to vote in equal numbers on Election Day just like they did for early voting and it comes to independents then.”
I guess it’s possible, but I don’t see the evidence for that at all.
I see remaining vote share among Rs, Ds, and others to be about the same as it has been since IPEV started. That’s when both forms of voting became available. 66% of FL votes have been cast since October 19th.
The share has been 33.4 D, 41. 7 R, 24.9. Other