Is that county R or D?
They are likely R votes and Ducey has said they are falling mostly for Trump.
The good news is:
1) the last week before the election Rs started mailing in more ballots than Ds, so the batch that arrived in the last 48 hours before the election were probably R heavy.
2) A sizeable chunk of these “mail ballots” were actually dropped off at the polling places. Republicans out-voted Dems on election day 65/35 in Maricopa Co.
3) There is also a huge chunk of rural and R-friendly Pima Co. outstanding.
I’m worried about Georgia. We’ve got to pull GA off.
He won the county in 2016
Florida has three times the population of Arizona (22 million to 7 million) and Florida can count ballots in 2 - 3 hours.
Last night the AZ counters yawned and said, “We’re tired, that’s enough for the day.” Forget about a national election being at stake. What a disgraceful state along with the other Dem uncounted states. States should be forced to provide a count with 12 hours after the polls close. We are not a 3rd world country.
Arizona is not decided and won’t be until every vote is counted and every suit settled.
i think this is the Sharpie controversy county
There is a 93000 spread between Trump and Biden. This last batch of votes they have been counting are not the early mail in ballots that were heavily Biden. They are the drop off ballots and last couple of days ballots that have been counting 60 to 40 Republican. Arizona unlike the Dem midwest states starting counting the likely R votes last. So if there are 600000 votes to count and the same 20% winning margin holds on them, that would give Trump approx a 20,000 vote statewide winning margin and I think that is what Trump campaign hq is indicating. Let’s see
In 2016, according to the Wikipedia page on the subject, Trump out polled Hillary 747,361 to 702,907 in Maricopa County with 158,607 votes made to "others". That's a total polling of 1,608,875 votes.
According to the NYTimes election site (as of this writing), 86% of the total estimated ballots for Maricopa have been counted, resulting in 1,615,329 votes tabulated for Biden and Trump (with Biden leading 857,135 to 758,194).
That's already a tally exceeding the votes counted in 2016 for Maricopa.
So now they believe there's ANOTHER 605,000 left to count? An increased amount over the prior election by nearly 38%??
(Never mind that even the NYT's estimate is that there could be around 263,000 votes remaining to be counted... a far cry off from this 605,000.)
I need an explanation... something other than "more people voted", because that's sketchy at best.
Of note: the 2nd-most populous county in AZ is Pima (Tuscon). In 2016, there were 416,386 votes cast for President in Pima. Currently they are 8% above that with 11% to go... it's an increase, but nowhere near a 38% increase... perhaps half.
Stirewalt broke away from the feed trough a few minutes ago and declared that there was no way his predictions were wrong and Trump would have to take 57% of the remaining votes just to catch up.
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Who does the counting in this county? Democrat or Republican election officials. Doesn’t matter who votes, but rather who is counting.