Trump losing is bad for AOC. She doesn’t have a path to run for President in 2024 without mounting a primary challenge to an incumbent.
It’s good for any potential Republican candidate who isn’t Mike Pence, since he won’t have a springboard to run as a Trump third term. So Cruz, Rubio, etc. It also gives any Republican an incumbent with a record to run against.
The GOP Senate majority, if it holds, is a strong firewall against any of the radical Harris/Sanders/AOC+3 policies. Expanding the SCOTUS is off the table. Which secures one of Trump’s greatest legacies, three justices appointed in one term.
It’s unlikely a conservative justice will pass away or retire in the next few years. Stephen Breyer is a big possibility given he’s only 5 years younger than Ginsburg was, but at least that would only be replacing a liberal with a liberal.
Overall, the GOP itself performed slightly better than Trump in this election. So that potentially bodes well for mid-term pick-ups in 2022. Biden may be inclined to govern more as a moderate in order to avoid the mid-term shellacking that Clinton and Obama suffered.
The big uncertainty for the GOP is how to keep appealing to the people that Trump brought in. They were attracted to Trump as a person, his status as a political outsider and his “reform party”-style agenda. They need to find a way to stay on the side of those voters and keep their loyalty.
And that's something the GOPe won't do. They don't want Trump voters - they've been against Trump, and us, from the night he stepped off the escalator. They only want docile herbivores who vote the way they're told every two years.
“The big uncertainty for the GOP is how to keep appealing to the people that Trump brought in. They were attracted to Trump as a person, his status as a political outsider and his “reform party”-style agenda. They need to find a way to stay on the side of those voters and keep their loyalty.”
The money in the GOP — the country club Republicans — has no interest in us, except as rubes who vote for them when they pretend to represent our interests. A big realignment is coming but I don’t think the Republican party survives.