Posted on 11/13/2020 8:10:13 PM PST by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update # 240
As of 11/12/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
If you don't fully understand the COVID-19 Dashboard, please click on it
an you will see more of an explanation.
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information5
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Fatalities and New Cases in the United States
Fatalities fell off by 268 cases from the previous day, to come in at 1,187
yesterday. That was 0.25% higher than the same day the previous week.
New Cases rose by 25,194 cases from the day before, to come in at 165,208
yesterday. That was 32.85% higher than the same day the week before.
Fatalaties and New Cases on the Global Scene
Fatalities fell by 905 cases from the previous day, to come in at 9,597
yesterday. That was 14.01% higher than the same day the previous week.
New Cases rose by 8,335 cases from the day before, to come in at 654,106
yesterday. This was 11.87% higher than the same day the week before.
This 654,106 number was the highest New Case declarations in a single day
so far. Gamed or not, this is what the Left is foisting off on us. We
should keep an eye on them. These are the numbers they'll be using to
sway politics in the near future. If it's about total control, as I believe
it probably is, these numbers are not easly refuted if you don't know them
and have a counter to trot out on que.
Global Milestone
On the Global scene we have now identified over 53 million cases of COVID-19.
At the rate those numbers are rising, we will reach 54 million in 36 hours.
Several months ago, it was taking four days.
The Global community declared it's 1,3 millionth Fatalitiy yesterday.
The Global community also saw it's 37 millionth Recovery.
United States Milestone
Our New Case level grew above 165k yesterday. Ten days ago, our record day
was in the 78k neighborhood.
Testing Level Alert for China
I have watched China declare testing figures two times so far. When the
United States approches it's number, it spits out a new exercise in fantasy.
Well our testing numbers have risen above China's 160 million. I suspected
they would already have upped their number to remain in first place.
I expect an update by China any day now.
All these massive tests (in China), but almost no new cases... LOL
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Here we go...
New Case Declarations rose by 25,194 cases yesterday.
Please take note of the Resolved Percentage level on the right.
It has been falling recently.
The number is significant enough now to take note of it daily.
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here are more of our numbers...
Active Cases rose by 84,606 cases yesterday.
Serious/Critical cases continue to rise on the right there.
This was a descriptor that had been correct for several days,
but yesterday it was left here as Serious/Critical cases rose. Oops.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our slice of the pie has been decreasing recently.
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globally Declared and Active Cases.
The struggle continues, as we now move back up again.
We had dropped about 6.00% in the Active Case slice of the pie in the last month,
but we're back on the move up. The Global area is growing much faster.
Active Cases in the United States / Chart
Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point with this one.
Note that this presents the single, seven, and fourteen day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new Declared Cases. These are remaing Active Cases.
Not seeing any signs of New Case declaration numbers softening.
Active Cases will be going up further.
Testing and New Case Figures
Requested by stocksthatgoup
Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that. The size
of it just doesn't seem reasoned to me.
Why/how could the posive portion of the popoulace vary as much as 2.0% from day
to day? I could a lot easier see a 2.0% trend over three or four days. One day?
Nah.
Testing rose by around 20,000 tests yesterday.
The 14-day line is going up strongly. Look at it there, and then look
up the column to note how much it has increased over the last month.
I use the 14-day averagine line for comparisons. The single-day and 3-day
averages bounce around too much for an accurate assessment.
The single day figure has been very hot recently. It's dragging along the
14-day with it in a delayed manner.
That 14-day rising line is hard to take. Look at that thing.
The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers. I may be wrong
not to do so, but I don't plan to put much weight in those figures for a
few days until they normalize.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to watch.
The New Case Declarations line is moving on up.
The Active Case line is rising.
United States Movers and Shakers...
I will present the U S States with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities rankings.
Here we go...
Illinois and Texas took the top spots yesterday.
Out of nowhere California joined them in the 10,000 plus category.
I need to take a look at California and see how it got there. I didn't
see this coming. It's not that I catch everything, but I don't like
the idea of a state suddenly going over 10k New Cases per day out of
nowhere.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China
Here is the first set of Data for the Global Outside China
Territories
New Case declarations rose by 8,342 cases yesterday.
The Resolved Percentage actually rose yesterday.
Please take a look back up the column to see it's changes recently.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
Active Cases rose by 107,659 cases yesterday. That's a nice drop off.
wish it would stay that way.
Check out the Serious/Critical cases there. Grrrr...
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Let's see...
The middle number fell off yesterday due to the United States figure
rising significantly.
Those blue columns are growing. Drat! We say minimalist relief yesterday.
Globally? No.
The blue line there... well... &%#! X*!#?
The Active Cases outside China Globally / Chart
As in the United States' version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.
Note that these present the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
Global Active Cases are growing considerably. In the last 30 days they have
added over 4 million new cases, at least two-thirds of what was accumulated
in the prior seven months.
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Jim Noble mentioned he'd like to see the US numbers added here. I added them
in on 06/21/2020. I did not add them to the chart because it would have
dwarfed the European nations chart lines. (they would have been reduced to
about 15% of their normal size)
Let's Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
Ug!
The best way to read these line charges, is to take each individual
nation and compare what it's doing now in relation to what it was
doing.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Against COVID-19?
Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
Sweden had flattened out a bit after that correction a while back, but it
is drifting up at an excellerated pace now. Norway seems to be making
a move also.
The best way to read these line changes, is to take each individual
nation and compare what it's doing now in relation to what it was
doing.
The Netherlands... yikes.
Global Movers and Shakers...
I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.
Here we go...
The United States took both spots again here yesterday.
Look at that New Case spread there. That's just unnatural.
Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Agveraging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data
displayed here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
The Active Case chart line is turning up. Sorry to see it.
In the United States chart like this one, the Recoveries, and Resolved
Case lines have not shown near the strength as is revealed here with these
upward bound lines.
That chart is provided here, in a small version, but you can see it full size
if you right click view.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.003% of today's total global numbers.
(this was larger than normal change here, and there may have been
something I didn't pick on - keep that in mind as you review this)
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
The Resolved percentage have been declining recenty, but yesterday we
saw a rise. Wish that would hang on.
Folks should view up the column to see what the trend here has been
recently.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Active Cases rose by 107,640 cases yesterday, and Serious/Critical cases
were on the rise also.
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
Here is the data for four entities...
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
We hear all sorts of stories about how these figures are wildly off. The CDC
has studied them and seems to think they may actually be on the low side of
things. I am providing the CDC Provential Numbers down below. Not sure if
anyone has a rock solid number. I doubt it is possible. This is what is
reported out by WoM and JHU. Check out the CDC numbers too.
Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
I'd like to say that numbers went up here in accordance with the growth this
week, but in truth our Fatalities are now starting to be impacted by the
massive growth in cases.
We dropped off little yesterday. The other regions rose.
Since the beginning of COVID-19's activity in the U. S., higher New Cases were
soon followed by elevated Fatalities. If we have gone to school on the data
of this disease, we know who should avoid exposure the most. So if the
demographic that has little to fear from the disease is out there getting
infected, it may not be a bad thing at all. If the Fatalities remain low,
vastly higher cases may simply increase the rapidity of the saturation of the
people in public who have already fought it off. And that may facilitate the
end of the disease. I'm sure others know this, but I did want to explain why
my thinking has fluctuated over time regarding these dynamics.
Here, let's look at data for the United States broken out by itself.
Our Fatalities were over 1,000 again yesterday. Three days so far this
week.
We started off out of character for the week, and it has stayed with us
related to elevated numbers this week.
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one
case. I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this
time.
This area hasn't looked too good lately. Not good...
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
This data was developed so we could see the nations that pose a real threat
to our hopes of lower cases globally. These are only declared cases,
but it does help us to see where the large infectious communities
have been globally.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.
And we now know Thursdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
IMO Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
Please take note of the new tally line down below the numbers up above.
I'm now showing the case number change and percentage of this week's number
to last weeks number. If a number hasn't been entered yet this week, the
spread will cover the week before.
Thursday's increase over the same day last week was large. It contributed
to Thursday's new record for one day.
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
For months Puerto Rico was showing up with the Counties. That stopped in early July
if memory serves me well.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.
There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.
These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Nations?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Around 06/23, China started putting out it's testing numbers. I thought
they were suspect. The number they put out was 90,410,000. Ours and most
everyone else's numbers are specific. For instance on 06/28, our number of
of tests at the ned of the day was 32,592,368. That specificity separates it
from the number China put out. It was rounded to the 10 thousandth place. In
addition, China did not update that number until 09/02/20. On that date they
raised the number to 160,000,000. As of October 3rd, 2020, they haven't updeded
it again. So I do not inlude China in the Nation's Comparison Sort regarding
Testing, and any place that reports out global testing numbers for a top level
comparison.
Please note that global testing on the Dashboard was only deducting China's
90,410,000 figure from 09/02 through 10/02/2020. I should have been
deducting the 160,000,000 figure, and all global figures during that period
were 69,590,000 tests too high.
We remained in 19th place yesterday.
Section: 10
Here is what it is all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK United States Center for Disease Control - Provisional Numbers
Listed in the order of current utilization...
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, Nations219,
and the CDC Provisional Counts53
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute
LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nasal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, borough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
Thanks, as always.
Pennsylvania Nursing Home (LTC) death stats November 13
Data from PA Department of Health swept at midnight November 12-13
LTC deaths = 6052 (increase of 53)*
Total deaths = 9224 (increase of 30)
Cumulative LTC deaths as percentage of total = 65.6%
*Once again, something is rotten in the State of Pennsylvania. Anyone smarter than a Fifth Grader knows that the subset (LTC) cannot be greater than the main set (total).
There is a pattern: Days of unrealistically low new LTC deaths followed by ginormous “statistical adjustments”
There is a silver lining...these huge “adjustments” move the LTC percentage higher, undermining the fearmongering that High School sports, interstate travel, and (shudder) Thanksgiving dinners cause community spread.
Ping for PA stats.
https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2020/11/13/279551-n279551
This is happening everywhere. Please stop reporting totally unreliable and unverifiable cases.
Is the water better in Utah?
Utah cases=143,639... deaths= 687
Colorado cases= 147,599... deaths= 2,468
Maryland cases= 159,900... deaths= 4,261
Lets say every bit of this is fabricated.
You do realize the Left is going to use all this against us
right? So you want me to not keep you informed as to what
their big gun is.
Quit looking at this as something we can stop if only we don’t
address the numbers.
It’s going to happen whether you like it or not. It seems
things are building to a crescendo. I want to know that.
Others do also.
Nobody has taken these numbers absolutely postivly as the
rocks solid numbers in months. They’re still what the
government is putting out. Playing like these numbers
don’t exist resolves NOTHING!
There are so many anomalies with this thing.
Maybe that’s one place they forgot to seed the populace.
They already used it. It is called the 2020 fraudulent elections.
Kansas needs to teach other states too:
Kansas cases=110,811.....deaths= 1,215
Massachusettes cases= 180,189......deaths= 10,242
Do you really think people voted against Trump based on these
number? Seriously?
It was Orange Man bad and nothing else.
Remember the Clinton impeachment and Lewinsky scandal?
BJ Clintoon famously said “it depends on the meaning of ‘is’”.
Now it depends on the meaning of “case”.
A positive test?
Every positive test repeated ad nauseum on the same person?
A positive test resulting in hospitalization?
A positive test resulting in hospitalization in an ICU bed?
A positive test resulting in hospitalization in an ICU bed on an ventilator?
We need a nationally agreed upon definition of “case”!
They used all of these hoax cases reported as a reason to use mail in ballots. Where have you been?
Two steps ahead of you evidently.
I think it is understood by most everyone that a “case” is a person who tests positive, unless it is shown that the test was in error. False negatives are high, esp. with the “quick” (PCR) test, but false positives are fairly low.
A 2nd, 3rd, etc. positive for that person within a short time would be a confirmation of the case being active, but would not count as a new case.
Early on, when tests were in short supply, I believe some “cases” were determined by symptoms alone, but, at this point, at least in the US, that must be a very small % of cases.
It may be that a person could be infected by a modest viral load, test positive but have mild or no symptoms and develop weak immunity through antibodies, then be infected by a heavy viral load, and test positive again. I believe that would generate two cases, but both would be legitimate, IMO.
It may be that a person could be infected by a modest viral load, test positive but have mild or no symptoms and develop weak immunity through antibodies, be defined as a recovered case, then be infected by a heavy viral load, and test positive again. I believe that would generate two cases, but both would be legitimate, IMO.
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