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Mike Osterholm wants a 6-8 week shutdown, but he acknowledges that it could easily go to six months. And by "shutdown", he does not mean a US-style "lockdown" with loose rules and no enforcement. He means a France-Italy-Australia confinement: All business ceases, no going out of your house without a police pass, arrest and detention for violators, no release until cases < 1:100 000, the state pays all mortgages, rents, utilities, and lost income.

Hospitals and clinics, food distribution, power distribution allowed to operate.

Oh, actually I meant your comment "it is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore Australia.

Their cases and fatalities are quite low now, although @ present they are also going into their summer. France OTOH has been a mess -- they seem to be past their recent cases' peak, but, they just had another 500 fatality day. Italy is even worse (more fatalities per week, recently, and with a slightly lower population than France, too.)

The policies... How the bleep this does not trigger a severe and continuing global recession I do not know, and now it's looking increasingly likely we'll end up with people in charge here who are expert politicians, but could not IMO run a lemonade stand.